// NFL · Week 6 · Sunday 18 October 2026
Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts prediction
Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Indianapolis Colts
- Chance
- 76%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Tennessee Titans 26 – 20 Indianapolis Colts. Our pick, Indianapolis Colts, lost ✕.
Our pre-game preview
Indianapolis Colts are our pick at home against the Tennessee Titans in Week 6. The model gives them a 76% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Indianapolis Colts have the higher team rating (1452 to 1277), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Quarterbacks: we expect Cam Ward to start for Tennessee Titans (22 career starts); we expect Daniel Jones to start for Indianapolis Colts (89 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Tennessee Titans are 1–7 and Indianapolis Colts are 2–6.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Titans beat the Colts 26–20 on the road. Cam Ward completed 11 of 22 passes for 102 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception, and Tony Pollard ran for 76 yards on 19 carries. For the Colts, Daniel Jones completed 22 of 42 passes for 269 yards with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.
What the model got right
Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Cam Ward for the Titans and Daniel Jones for the Colts. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the day.
What didn't work
The model made the Colts the favourite at 76%, and that was wrong: the Titans won by 6. The Colts out-gained the Titans 399 yards to 186 and still lost. Our team rating had the Colts ahead (1452 to 1277), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team rating, which is built from past results and can't see how a single game will go. Even at 76%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 18 OctHouston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars JAX 57%Orange✕ 34–31
- Sun, 18 OctPittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers PIT 63%Orange✓ 26–19
- Sun, 18 OctNew York Jets @ New England Patriots NE 81%Green✓ 19–26
- Sun, 18 OctBaltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns BAL 53%Red✕ 10–13
- Sun, 18 OctNew Orleans Saints @ New York Giants NYG 61%Orange✕ 34–27
- Sun, 18 OctChicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons ATL 55%Orange✕ 31–23
- Sun, 18 OctCarolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles CAR 54%Red✓ 25–14
- Sun, 18 OctArizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams LA 79%Green✕ 18–16
- Sun, 18 OctBuffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders BUF 68%Green✓ 33–30
- Sun, 18 OctLos Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs KC 78%Green✓ 6–22
- Sun, 18 OctDallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers GB 65%Orange✓ 13–23
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.