// NFL · Week 6 · Sunday 18 October 2026
Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns prediction
Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Baltimore Ravens
- Chance
- 53%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Baltimore Ravens 10 – 13 Cleveland Browns. Our pick, Baltimore Ravens, lost ✕.
Our pre-game preview
Baltimore Ravens are our pick on the road against the Cleveland Browns in Week 6. The model gives them a 53% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
Baltimore Ravens have the higher team rating (1577 to 1439), built from results and winning margins.
Quarterbacks: we expect Tyler Huntley to start for Baltimore Ravens, though he hasn't been their regular starter this season; we expect Deshaun Watson to start for Cleveland Browns (80 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Baltimore Ravens are 4–5 and Cleveland Browns are 5–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Browns beat the Ravens 13–10 at home. Deshaun Watson completed 16 of 26 passes for 164 yards. For the Ravens, Tyler Huntley completed 19 of 31 passes for 165 yards with 1 touchdown.
What the model got right
Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Tyler Huntley for the Ravens and Deshaun Watson for the Browns. The model called this close to a coin flip, and it was a one-score game: 3 points at the end.
What didn't work
The model leaned to the Ravens at 53%, close to a coin flip, and it got this one wrong: the Browns won by 3. Our team rating had the Ravens ahead (1577 to 1439), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team rating, which is built from past results and can't see how a single game will go. At 53% it was close to a coin flip, so a result like this happens almost half the time. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 18 OctHouston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars JAX 57%Orange✕ 34–31
- Sun, 18 OctPittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers PIT 63%Orange✓ 26–19
- Sun, 18 OctNew York Jets @ New England Patriots NE 81%Green✓ 19–26
- Sun, 18 OctNew Orleans Saints @ New York Giants NYG 61%Orange✕ 34–27
- Sun, 18 OctChicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons ATL 55%Orange✕ 31–23
- Sun, 18 OctCarolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles CAR 54%Red✓ 25–14
- Sun, 18 OctTennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts IND 76%Green✕ 26–20
- Sun, 18 OctArizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams LA 79%Green✕ 18–16
- Sun, 18 OctBuffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders BUF 68%Green✓ 33–30
- Sun, 18 OctLos Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs KC 78%Green✓ 6–22
- Sun, 18 OctDallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers GB 65%Orange✓ 13–23
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.