// NFL · Week 6 · Sunday 18 October 2026
New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants prediction
Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- New York Giants
- Chance
- 61%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: New Orleans Saints 34 – 27 New York Giants. Our pick, New York Giants, lost ✕.
Our pre-game preview
New York Giants are our pick at home against the New Orleans Saints in Week 6. The model gives them a 61% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
New York Giants have the higher team rating (1469 to 1391), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Quarterbacks: we expect Tyler Shough to start for New Orleans Saints (14 career starts); we expect Jameis Winston to start for New York Giants, though he hasn't been their regular starter this season. We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: New Orleans Saints are 2–5 and New York Giants are 4–2–1.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Saints beat the Giants 34–27 on the road. Tyler Shough completed 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards with 3 touchdowns, and Kendre Miller ran for 70 yards on 20 carries. For the Giants, J.J. McCarthy completed 11 of 21 passes for 243 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception.
What the model got right
Tyler Shough started for the Saints, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the day.
What didn't work
The model made the Giants a slight favourite at 61%, and that was wrong: the Saints won by 7. The Giants out-gained the Saints 461 yards to 319 and still lost. Our team rating had the Giants ahead (1469 to 1391), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team rating, which is built from past results and can't see how a single game will go. Even at 61%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 18 OctHouston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars JAX 57%Orange✕ 34–31
- Sun, 18 OctPittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers PIT 63%Orange✓ 26–19
- Sun, 18 OctNew York Jets @ New England Patriots NE 81%Green✓ 19–26
- Sun, 18 OctBaltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns BAL 53%Red✕ 10–13
- Sun, 18 OctChicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons ATL 55%Orange✕ 31–23
- Sun, 18 OctCarolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles CAR 54%Red✓ 25–14
- Sun, 18 OctTennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts IND 76%Green✕ 26–20
- Sun, 18 OctArizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams LA 79%Green✕ 18–16
- Sun, 18 OctBuffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders BUF 68%Green✓ 33–30
- Sun, 18 OctLos Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs KC 78%Green✓ 6–22
- Sun, 18 OctDallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers GB 65%Orange✓ 13–23
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.