// NFL · Week 6 · Sunday 18 October 2026
Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams prediction
Kick-off 4:05pm ET ·
- Pick
- Los Angeles Rams
- Chance
- 79%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Arizona Cardinals 18 – 16 Los Angeles Rams. Our pick, Los Angeles Rams, lost ✕.
Our pre-game preview
Los Angeles Rams are our pick at home against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 6. The model gives them a 79% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Los Angeles Rams have the higher team rating (1581 to 1360), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Quarterbacks: we expect Jacoby Brissett to start for Arizona Cardinals (70 career starts); we expect Matthew Stafford to start for Los Angeles Rams (257 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Arizona Cardinals are 3–5 and Los Angeles Rams are 4–4.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Cardinals beat the Rams 18–16 on the road. Jacoby Brissett completed 24 of 35 passes for 218 yards with 1 interception. For the Rams, Matthew Stafford completed 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards with 2 touchdowns.
What the model got right
Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Jacoby Brissett for the Cardinals and Matthew Stafford for the Rams. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the day.
What didn't work
The model made the Rams the favourite at 79%, and that was wrong: the Cardinals won by 2. Our team rating had the Rams ahead (1581 to 1360), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team rating, which is built from past results and can't see how a single game will go. Even at 79%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 18 OctHouston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars JAX 57%Orange✕ 34–31
- Sun, 18 OctPittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers PIT 63%Orange✓ 26–19
- Sun, 18 OctNew York Jets @ New England Patriots NE 81%Green✓ 19–26
- Sun, 18 OctBaltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns BAL 53%Red✕ 10–13
- Sun, 18 OctNew Orleans Saints @ New York Giants NYG 61%Orange✕ 34–27
- Sun, 18 OctChicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons ATL 55%Orange✕ 31–23
- Sun, 18 OctCarolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles CAR 54%Red✓ 25–14
- Sun, 18 OctTennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts IND 76%Green✕ 26–20
- Sun, 18 OctBuffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders BUF 68%Green✓ 33–30
- Sun, 18 OctLos Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs KC 78%Green✓ 6–22
- Sun, 18 OctDallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers GB 65%Orange✓ 13–23
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.