// NBA · Friday 23 October 2026
Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Toronto Raptors
- Chance
- 75%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Toronto Raptors 112 – 102 Washington Wizards. Our pick, Toronto Raptors, won ✓.
Recent results
- Toronto Raptors: 1 win from the last 1, average margin +43.0 points (W 135–92 v CHI).
- Washington Wizards: 1 win from the last 1, average margin +12.0 points (W 128–116 v MIL).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Toronto Raptors are our pick on the road against the Washington Wizards. The model gives them a 75% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Toronto Raptors rate as the stronger team (99.9 to 97.6 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Toronto Raptors have been winning by 8.1 points a game, while Washington Wizards have been losing by 11.6 points a game.
Injuries: Washington Wizards will be without Jamir Watkins (24 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Toronto Raptors are 5–4 and Washington Wizards are 4–6.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Raptors beat the Wizards 112–102 on the road. Scottie Barnes led them with 28 points, 14 rebounds and 5 assists, and RJ Barrett added 23. For the Wizards, Trae Young had 22 points and 12 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Raptors a 75% chance on the road, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (99.9 to 97.6), and they won by 10. Recent form pointed the same way: the Raptors had been winning by 8.1 points a game, the Wizards losing by 11.6. Jamir Watkins missed the game for the Wizards, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. The Wizards made more threes (12 to 7) and still lost.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 75%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 23 OctChicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks MIL 53%Red✕ 132–125
- Fri, 23 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic ORL 51%Red✕ 115–93
- Fri, 23 OctAtlanta Hawks @ Charlotte Hornets ATL 54%Red✓ 128–81
- Fri, 23 OctDallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers IND 60%Orange✕ 121–105
- Fri, 23 OctNew York Knicks @ Boston Celtics NY 56%Orange✕ 103–107
- Fri, 23 OctDetroit Pistons @ Miami Heat DET 51%Red✓ 128–111
- Fri, 23 OctNew Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz UTAH 54%Red✓ 119–120
- Fri, 23 OctHouston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs SA 66%Green✕ 114–110
- Fri, 23 OctPortland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings POR 73%Green✓ 128–120
- Fri, 23 OctLA Clippers @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 74%Green✓ 117–125
- Fri, 23 OctMemphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors GS 60%Orange✕ 111–108
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.