// NBA · Friday 23 October 2026
Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings prediction
Start 10:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Chance
- 73%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Portland Trail Blazers 128 – 120 Sacramento Kings. Our pick, Portland Trail Blazers, won ✓.
Recent results
- Portland Trail Blazers: 1 win from the last 1, average margin +41.0 points (W 124–83 v PHX).
- Sacramento Kings: 0 wins from the last 1, average margin −25.0 points (L 96–121 @ LAC).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Portland Trail Blazers are our pick on the road against the Sacramento Kings. The model gives them a 73% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Portland Trail Blazers rate as the stronger team (96.3 to 83.4 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Portland Trail Blazers have been winning by 5.0 points a game, while Sacramento Kings have been losing by 10.4 points a game.
Injuries: Portland Trail Blazers will be without Shaedon Sharpe (25 min a game) and Sacramento Kings will be without Maxime Raynaud (33 min a game) and Dylan Cardwell (22 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Portland Trail Blazers are 6–3 and Sacramento Kings are 1–8.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Trail Blazers beat the Kings 128–120 on the road. Deni Avdija led them with 26 points and 6 assists, and Toumani Camara added 19. For the Kings, Darius Acuff Jr. had 33 points.
What the model got right
The model gave the Trail Blazers a 73% chance on the road, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (96.3 to 83.4), and they won by 8. Recent form pointed the same way: the Trail Blazers had been winning by 5.0 points a game, the Kings losing by 10.4. Shaedon Sharpe for the Trail Blazers, and Maxime Raynaud and Dylan Cardwell for the Kings, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Darius Acuff Jr.'s 33 points for the Kings weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 73%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 23 OctChicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks MIL 53%Red✕ 132–125
- Fri, 23 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic ORL 51%Red✕ 115–93
- Fri, 23 OctToronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards TOR 75%Green✓ 112–102
- Fri, 23 OctAtlanta Hawks @ Charlotte Hornets ATL 54%Red✓ 128–81
- Fri, 23 OctDallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers IND 60%Orange✕ 121–105
- Fri, 23 OctNew York Knicks @ Boston Celtics NY 56%Orange✕ 103–107
- Fri, 23 OctDetroit Pistons @ Miami Heat DET 51%Red✓ 128–111
- Fri, 23 OctNew Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz UTAH 54%Red✓ 119–120
- Fri, 23 OctHouston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs SA 66%Green✕ 114–110
- Fri, 23 OctLA Clippers @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 74%Green✓ 117–125
- Fri, 23 OctMemphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors GS 60%Orange✕ 111–108
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.