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// NBA · Friday 23 October 2026

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction

Start 4:00pm ET ·

Pick
Milwaukee Bucks
Chance
53%
Light
Red
Confidence
Low

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Result

Final: Chicago Bulls 132 – 125 Milwaukee Bucks. Our pick, Milwaukee Bucks, lost ✕.

See our full record →

Recent results

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

Milwaukee Bucks are our pick at home against the Chicago Bulls. The model gives them a 53% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).

Chicago Bulls rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (92.7 to 87.8 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to Milwaukee Bucks.

Recent form: Chicago Bulls have been losing by 12.2 points a game, while Milwaukee Bucks have been losing by 9.7 points a game.

Injuries: Chicago Bulls will be without Nic Claxton (25 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Chicago Bulls are 1–7 and Milwaukee Bucks are 1–8.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.

Game review

What happened

The Bulls beat the Bucks 132–125 on the road. Norman Powell led them with 25 points, and Caleb Wilson added 21. For the Bucks, Tyler Herro had 34 points and 5 rebounds, making 5 of 10 threes.

What the model got right

Nic Claxton missed the game for the Bulls, as the preview expected. Our team-strength rating also had the Bulls as the stronger side (92.7 to 87.8).

What didn't work

The model leaned to the Bucks at 53%, close to a coin flip, and it got this one wrong: the Bulls won by 7. The Bulls made 28 of 30 free throws to 14 of 26 for the Bucks.

Why

The Bulls already rated slightly stronger on paper, so the pick leaned on home court, which is a thin margin. At 53% it was close to a coin flip, so a result like this happens almost half the time. It stays on our record like every other result.

Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.