ProbaLab
← Back to NBA predictions

// NBA · Friday 23 October 2026

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics prediction

Start 7:00pm ET ·

Pick
New York Knicks
Chance
56%
Light
Orange
Confidence
Medium

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Result

Final: New York Knicks 103 – 107 Boston Celtics. Our pick, New York Knicks, lost ✕.

See our full record →

Recent results

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

New York Knicks are our pick on the road against the Boston Celtics. The model gives them a 56% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).

On the rosters we expect, New York Knicks rate as the stronger team (91.6 to 89.7 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.

Recent form: New York Knicks have been winning by 9.0 points a game, while Boston Celtics have been winning by 4.3 points a game.

Injuries: Boston Celtics will be without Devin Carter (25 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: New York Knicks are 5–4 and Boston Celtics are 7–2.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.

Game review

What happened

The Celtics beat the Knicks 107–103 at home. Jayson Tatum led them with 36 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists, and Paul George added 15. For the Knicks, Karl-Anthony Towns had 22 points and 10 rebounds.

What the model got right

Devin Carter missed the game for the Celtics, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the night.

What didn't work

The model made the Knicks a slight favourite at 56%, and that was wrong: the Celtics won by 4. Our team-strength rating had the Knicks ahead (91.6 to 89.7), and that didn't hold up.

Why

The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. Even at 56%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.

Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.

More NBA predictions that day

Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.