// NBA · Friday 23 October 2026
New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz prediction
Start 9:30pm ET ·
- Pick
- Utah Jazz
- Chance
- 54%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: New Orleans Pelicans 119 – 120 Utah Jazz. Our pick, Utah Jazz, won ✓.
Recent results
- New Orleans Pelicans: 0 wins from the last 1, average margin −3.0 points (L 120–123 v IND).
- Utah Jazz: 0 wins from the last 1, average margin −20.0 points (L 103–123 @ MEM).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Utah Jazz are our pick at home against the New Orleans Pelicans. The model gives them a 54% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
On the rosters we expect, Utah Jazz rate as the stronger team (103.3 to 95.5 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: New Orleans Pelicans have been losing by 3.7 points a game, while Utah Jazz have been losing by 10.9 points a game.
Injuries: Utah Jazz will be without Jusuf Nurkic (29 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: New Orleans Pelicans are 4–5 and Utah Jazz are 1–8.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Jazz beat the Pelicans 120–119 at home. Jaren Jackson Jr. led them with 24 points and 10 rebounds, and Keyonte George added 19. For the Pelicans, Zion Williamson had 23 points and 5 rebounds.
What the model got right
The model gave the Jazz a 54% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (103.3 to 95.5), and they won by 1. Jusuf Nurkic missed the game for the Jazz, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Recent form favoured the Pelicans (the Jazz had been losing by 10.9 points a game, the Pelicans losing by 3.7), and that didn't carry over. Zion Williamson's 23 points for the Pelicans weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 54% this was close to a coin flip, so it could easily have gone the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 23 OctChicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks MIL 53%Red✕ 132–125
- Fri, 23 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic ORL 51%Red✕ 115–93
- Fri, 23 OctToronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards TOR 75%Green✓ 112–102
- Fri, 23 OctAtlanta Hawks @ Charlotte Hornets ATL 54%Red✓ 128–81
- Fri, 23 OctDallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers IND 60%Orange✕ 121–105
- Fri, 23 OctNew York Knicks @ Boston Celtics NY 56%Orange✕ 103–107
- Fri, 23 OctDetroit Pistons @ Miami Heat DET 51%Red✓ 128–111
- Fri, 23 OctHouston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs SA 66%Green✕ 114–110
- Fri, 23 OctPortland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings POR 73%Green✓ 128–120
- Fri, 23 OctLA Clippers @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 74%Green✓ 117–125
- Fri, 23 OctMemphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors GS 60%Orange✕ 111–108
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.