// NBA · Friday 23 October 2026
Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Atlanta Hawks
- Chance
- 54%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Atlanta Hawks 128 – 81 Charlotte Hornets. Our pick, Atlanta Hawks, won ✓.
Recent results
- Atlanta Hawks: 1 win from the last 1, average margin +7.0 points (W 132–125 @ ORL).
- Charlotte Hornets: 1 win from the last 1, average margin +7.0 points (W 110–103 @ BKN).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Atlanta Hawks are our pick on the road against the Charlotte Hornets. The model gives them a 54% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
On the rosters we expect, Atlanta Hawks rate as the stronger team (90.2 to 77.5 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Atlanta Hawks have been losing by 0.8 points a game, while Charlotte Hornets have been winning by 8.9 points a game.
Injuries: Charlotte Hornets will be without Kon Knueppel (30 min a game), Grant Williams (20 min a game) and Coby White (20 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Atlanta Hawks are 7–4 and Charlotte Hornets are 3–7.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Hawks beat the Hornets 128–81 on the road. Jalen Johnson and Aaron Wiggins led them with 19 points each. For the Hornets, Naz Reid had 17 points and 6 rebounds.
What the model got right
The model gave the Hawks a 54% chance on the road, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (90.2 to 77.5), and they won by 47. Kon Knueppel, Coby White and Grant Williams for the Hornets all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Recent form favoured the Hornets (the Hawks had been losing by 0.8 points a game, the Hornets winning by 8.9), and that didn't carry over. Naz Reid's 17 points for the Hornets weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 54% this was close to a coin flip, so it could easily have gone the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 23 OctChicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks MIL 53%Red✕ 132–125
- Fri, 23 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic ORL 51%Red✕ 115–93
- Fri, 23 OctToronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards TOR 75%Green✓ 112–102
- Fri, 23 OctDallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers IND 60%Orange✕ 121–105
- Fri, 23 OctNew York Knicks @ Boston Celtics NY 56%Orange✕ 103–107
- Fri, 23 OctDetroit Pistons @ Miami Heat DET 51%Red✓ 128–111
- Fri, 23 OctNew Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz UTAH 54%Red✓ 119–120
- Fri, 23 OctHouston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs SA 66%Green✕ 114–110
- Fri, 23 OctPortland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings POR 73%Green✓ 128–120
- Fri, 23 OctLA Clippers @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 74%Green✓ 117–125
- Fri, 23 OctMemphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors GS 60%Orange✕ 111–108
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.