// NBA · Friday 23 October 2026
Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors prediction
Start 10:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Golden State Warriors
- Chance
- 60%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Memphis Grizzlies 111 – 108 Golden State Warriors. Our pick, Golden State Warriors, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Memphis Grizzlies: 1 win from the last 1, average margin +20.0 points (W 123–103 v UTAH).
- Golden State Warriors: 0 wins from the last 1, average margin −22.0 points (L 105–127 @ LAL).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Golden State Warriors are our pick at home against the Memphis Grizzlies. The model gives them a 60% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
Memphis Grizzlies rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (89.9 to 87.7 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to Golden State Warriors.
Recent form: Memphis Grizzlies have been losing by 11.8 points a game, while Golden State Warriors have been losing by 7.0 points a game.
Injuries: Memphis Grizzlies will be without Cedric Coward (24 min a game) and Golden State Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler III (31 min a game), Moses Moody (28 min a game) and Kristaps Porzingis (23 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Memphis Grizzlies are 6–3 and Golden State Warriors are 7–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Grizzlies beat the Warriors 111–108 on the road. Ty Jerome led them with 28 points and 5 assists, and Cameron Boozer added 25. For the Warriors, Stephen Curry had 24 points.
What the model got right
Cedric Coward for the Grizzlies, and Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porzingis for the Warriors, all missed the game, as the preview expected. Our team-strength rating also had the Grizzlies as the stronger side (89.9 to 87.7).
What didn't work
The model made the Warriors a slight favourite at 60%, and that was wrong: the Grizzlies won by 3. The Grizzlies out-rebounded the Warriors 47–41.
Why
The Grizzlies already rated slightly stronger on paper, so the pick leaned on home court, which is a thin margin. Even at 60%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 23 OctChicago Bulls @ Milwaukee Bucks MIL 53%Red✕ 132–125
- Fri, 23 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic ORL 51%Red✕ 115–93
- Fri, 23 OctToronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards TOR 75%Green✓ 112–102
- Fri, 23 OctAtlanta Hawks @ Charlotte Hornets ATL 54%Red✓ 128–81
- Fri, 23 OctDallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers IND 60%Orange✕ 121–105
- Fri, 23 OctNew York Knicks @ Boston Celtics NY 56%Orange✕ 103–107
- Fri, 23 OctDetroit Pistons @ Miami Heat DET 51%Red✓ 128–111
- Fri, 23 OctNew Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz UTAH 54%Red✓ 119–120
- Fri, 23 OctHouston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs SA 66%Green✕ 114–110
- Fri, 23 OctPortland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings POR 73%Green✓ 128–120
- Fri, 23 OctLA Clippers @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 74%Green✓ 117–125
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.