// NFL · Week 7 · Sunday 25 October 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers prediction
Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Carolina Panthers
- Chance
- 77%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 43 – 13 Carolina Panthers. Our pick, Carolina Panthers, lost ✕.
Our pre-game preview
Carolina Panthers are our pick at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 7. The model gives them a 77% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Carolina Panthers have the higher team rating (1508 to 1414), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Quarterbacks: we expect Jalon Daniels to start for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with only 3 career starts; we expect Bryce Young to start for Carolina Panthers (47 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 3–5 and Carolina Panthers are 3–4.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Buccaneers beat the Panthers 43–13 on the road. Baker Mayfield completed 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards with 1 touchdown, and Bucky Irving ran for 106 yards on 24 carries and scored twice. For the Panthers, Bryce Young completed 14 of 27 passes for 163 yards with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.
What the model got right
Bryce Young started for the Panthers, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the day.
What didn't work
The model made the Panthers the favourite at 77%, and that was wrong: the Buccaneers won by 30. The preview assumed Jalon Daniels would start for the Buccaneers, but Baker Mayfield started instead. Our team rating had the Panthers ahead (1508 to 1414), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The preview was built around the wrong starting quarterback, and in the NFL that changes a lot. Even at 77%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 25 OctPittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints PIT 71%Green✓ 16–10
- Sun, 25 OctCleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans CLE 60%Orange✓ 27–24
- Sun, 25 OctCincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens BAL 51%Red✕ 35–13
- Sun, 25 OctSan Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons SF 69%Green✕ 20–29
- Sun, 25 OctNew York Giants @ Houston Texans HOU 74%Green✕ 27–21
- Sun, 25 OctMiami Dolphins @ New York Jets NYJ 56%Orange✕ 28–25
- Sun, 25 OctIndianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings MIN 83%Green✓ 10–16
- Sun, 25 OctDenver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals DEN 71%Green✓ 30–16
- Sun, 25 OctLos Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders LA 59%Orange✓ 35–21
- Sun, 25 OctGreen Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions DET 62%Orange✓ 17–20
- Sun, 25 OctKansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks SEA 57%Orange✓ 3–20
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.