// NFL · Week 7 · Sunday 25 October 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints prediction
Kick-off 9:30am ET ·
- Pick
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Chance
- 71%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 16 – 10 New Orleans Saints. Our pick, Pittsburgh Steelers, won ✓.
Our pre-game preview
Pittsburgh Steelers are our pick against the New Orleans Saints at a neutral venue in Week 7. The model gives them a 71% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Pittsburgh Steelers have the higher team rating (1552 to 1425), built from results and winning margins.
Quarterbacks: we expect Aaron Rodgers to start for Pittsburgh Steelers (284 career starts); we expect Tyler Shough to start for New Orleans Saints (15 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Pittsburgh Steelers are 6–2 and New Orleans Saints are 2–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Steelers beat the Saints 16–10 at a neutral venue. Aaron Rodgers completed 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards with 1 touchdown, and Jaylen Warren ran for 101 yards on 18 carries. For the Saints, Tyler Shough completed 30 of 38 passes for 278 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception.
What the model got right
The model gave the Steelers a 71% chance at a neutral venue, mainly because of their higher team rating (1552 to 1425), and they won by 6. Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Aaron Rodgers for the Steelers and Tyler Shough for the Saints.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. The Saints kept it to a one-score game, so it was never comfortable.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 71%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 25 OctCleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans CLE 60%Orange✓ 27–24
- Sun, 25 OctCincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens BAL 51%Red✕ 35–13
- Sun, 25 OctSan Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons SF 69%Green✕ 20–29
- Sun, 25 OctNew York Giants @ Houston Texans HOU 74%Green✕ 27–21
- Sun, 25 OctMiami Dolphins @ New York Jets NYJ 56%Orange✕ 28–25
- Sun, 25 OctIndianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings MIN 83%Green✓ 10–16
- Sun, 25 OctTampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers CAR 77%Green✕ 43–13
- Sun, 25 OctDenver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals DEN 71%Green✓ 30–16
- Sun, 25 OctLos Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders LA 59%Orange✓ 35–21
- Sun, 25 OctGreen Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions DET 62%Orange✓ 17–20
- Sun, 25 OctKansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks SEA 57%Orange✓ 3–20
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.