// NFL · Week 7 · Sunday 25 October 2026
Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings prediction
Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Minnesota Vikings
- Chance
- 83%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Indianapolis Colts 10 – 16 Minnesota Vikings. Our pick, Minnesota Vikings, won ✓.
Our pre-game preview
Minnesota Vikings are our pick at home against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 7. The model gives them a 83% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Minnesota Vikings have the higher team rating (1646 to 1413), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Schedule: Minnesota Vikings are coming off a bye.
Quarterbacks: we expect Daniel Jones to start for Indianapolis Colts (90 career starts); we expect Kyler Murray to start for Minnesota Vikings (91 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Indianapolis Colts are 2–6 and Minnesota Vikings are 6–1.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Vikings beat the Colts 16–10 at home. Kyler Murray completed 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards with 1 touchdown. For the Colts, Daniel Jones completed 13 of 22 passes for 108 yards with 1 interception.
What the model got right
The model gave the Vikings an 83% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team rating (1646 to 1413), plus home field, and they won by 6. Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Daniel Jones for the Colts and Kyler Murray for the Vikings.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. The Colts kept it to a one-score game, so it was never comfortable.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 83%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 25 OctPittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints PIT 71%Green✓ 16–10
- Sun, 25 OctCleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans CLE 60%Orange✓ 27–24
- Sun, 25 OctCincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens BAL 51%Red✕ 35–13
- Sun, 25 OctSan Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons SF 69%Green✕ 20–29
- Sun, 25 OctNew York Giants @ Houston Texans HOU 74%Green✕ 27–21
- Sun, 25 OctMiami Dolphins @ New York Jets NYJ 56%Orange✕ 28–25
- Sun, 25 OctTampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers CAR 77%Green✕ 43–13
- Sun, 25 OctDenver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals DEN 71%Green✓ 30–16
- Sun, 25 OctLos Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders LA 59%Orange✓ 35–21
- Sun, 25 OctGreen Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions DET 62%Orange✓ 17–20
- Sun, 25 OctKansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks SEA 57%Orange✓ 3–20
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.