// NFL · Week 7 · Sunday 25 October 2026
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions prediction
Kick-off 4:25pm ET ·
- Pick
- Detroit Lions
- Chance
- 62%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Green Bay Packers 17 – 20 Detroit Lions. Our pick, Detroit Lions, won ✓.
Our pre-game preview
Detroit Lions are our pick at home against the Green Bay Packers in Week 7. The model gives them a 62% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
The two teams have almost the same rating (1547 to 1539), so home field decides the pick.
Schedule: Detroit Lions are coming off a bye.
Quarterbacks: we expect Jordan Love to start for Green Bay Packers (58 career starts); we expect Jared Goff to start for Detroit Lions (165 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Green Bay Packers are 5–3 and Detroit Lions are 5–2.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Lions beat the Packers 20–17 at home. Jared Goff completed 22 of 32 passes for 303 yards with 2 touchdowns, and Jahmyr Gibbs ran for 116 yards on 29 carries. For the Packers, Jordan Love completed 27 of 45 passes for 274 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.
What the model got right
The model gave the Lions a 62% chance at home, mainly because of home field, with the two teams rated almost the same (1547 to 1539), and they won by 3. Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Jordan Love for the Packers and Jared Goff for the Lions.
What didn't work
The pick came through, but only just: a 3-point game is closer than a 62% chance suggests. The Packers kept it to a one-score game, so it was never comfortable.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, home field. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 62%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 25 OctPittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints PIT 71%Green✓ 16–10
- Sun, 25 OctCleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans CLE 60%Orange✓ 27–24
- Sun, 25 OctCincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens BAL 51%Red✕ 35–13
- Sun, 25 OctSan Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons SF 69%Green✕ 20–29
- Sun, 25 OctNew York Giants @ Houston Texans HOU 74%Green✕ 27–21
- Sun, 25 OctMiami Dolphins @ New York Jets NYJ 56%Orange✕ 28–25
- Sun, 25 OctIndianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings MIN 83%Green✓ 10–16
- Sun, 25 OctTampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers CAR 77%Green✕ 43–13
- Sun, 25 OctDenver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals DEN 71%Green✓ 30–16
- Sun, 25 OctLos Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders LA 59%Orange✓ 35–21
- Sun, 25 OctKansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks SEA 57%Orange✓ 3–20
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.