// NBA · Monday 2 November 2026
Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction
Start 10:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Los Angeles Lakers
- Chance
- 61%
- Light
- Super
- Confidence
- Very high
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Miami Heat 117 – 138 Los Angeles Lakers. Our pick, Los Angeles Lakers, won ✓.
Recent results
- Miami Heat: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin +1.2 points (W 145–125 v IND, W 129–117 @ ATL, L 109–113 v DAL, L 110–115 @ CHA, L 111–128 v DET).
- Los Angeles Lakers: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +1.4 points (W 131–125 v TOR, L 95–112 @ GS, W 103–87 @ LAC, L 129–136 v POR, W 132–123 @ UTAH).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Los Angeles Lakers are our pick at home against the Miami Heat. The model gives them a 61% chance of winning, which makes this game our strongest pick.
Miami Heat rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (99.4 to 98.1 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to Los Angeles Lakers.
Recent form: Miami Heat have been losing by 0.5 points a game, while Los Angeles Lakers have been winning by 1.8 points a game.
Schedule: Los Angeles Lakers are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: neither team has a regular player on the injury report at the time of writing.
Season so far: Miami Heat are 3–6 and Los Angeles Lakers are 8–2.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Lakers beat the Heat 138–117 at home. Luka Doncic led them with 42 points, 7 rebounds and 13 assists, making 6 of 15 threes, and Austin Reaves added 27. For the Heat, Giannis Antetokounmpo had 30 points, 12 rebounds and 7 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Lakers a 61% chance at home, mainly because of home court, even though the Heat rated slightly stronger (99.4 to 98.1), and they won by 21. Recent form pointed the same way: the Lakers had been winning by 1.8 points a game, the Heat losing by 0.5.
What didn't work
Our rating had the Heat slightly stronger on paper, and on the night that didn't decide it. Giannis Antetokounmpo's 30 points for the Heat weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, home court. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 61%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Mon, 2 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 62%Orange✕ 117–112
- Mon, 2 NovChicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 107–126
- Mon, 2 NovWashington Wizards @ Orlando Magic ORL 61%Orange✕ 103–94
- Mon, 2 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks NY 91%Green✓ 90–103
- Mon, 2 NovDetroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets DET 64%Orange✓ 124–91
- Mon, 2 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers ATL 74%Green✓ 108–104
- Mon, 2 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 76%Green✓ 100–112
- Mon, 2 NovNew Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 67%Green✕ 135–134
- Mon, 2 NovSacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 71%Green✕ 115–100
- Mon, 2 NovUtah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs SA 89%Green✓ 97–119
- Mon, 2 NovBoston Celtics @ Houston Rockets HOU 69%Super✓ 93–109
- Mon, 2 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets DEN 66%Super✕ 118–110
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.