// NBA · Monday 2 November 2026
Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs prediction
Start 8:30pm ET ·
- Pick
- San Antonio Spurs
- Chance
- 89%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Utah Jazz 97 – 119 San Antonio Spurs. Our pick, San Antonio Spurs, won ✓.
Recent results
- Utah Jazz: 1 win from the last 5, average margin −8.2 points (L 90–112 v POR, L 111–117 v SA, L 105–110 v MEM, L 123–132 v LAL, W 120–119 v NO).
- San Antonio Spurs: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +11.0 points (W 121–111 v MIN, W 117–111 @ UTAH, W 130–103 v SAC, W 122–106 @ DAL, L 110–114 v HOU).
These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
San Antonio Spurs are our pick at home against the Utah Jazz. The model gives them a 89% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, San Antonio Spurs rate as the stronger team (95.1 to 91.0 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Utah Jazz have been losing by 11.1 points a game, while San Antonio Spurs have been winning by 6.8 points a game.
Injuries: Utah Jazz will be without Jusuf Nurkic (29 min a game) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (26 min a game) and San Antonio Spurs will be without Tobias Harris (31 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Utah Jazz are 1–8 and San Antonio Spurs are 8–2.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Spurs beat the Jazz 119–97 at home. Dylan Harper led them with 17 points, 7 rebounds and 8 assists, and Stephon Castle added 16. For the Jazz, Lauri Markkanen had 22 points and 8 rebounds.
What the model got right
The model gave the Spurs an 88% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (95.1 to 91.0), and they won by 22. Recent form pointed the same way: the Spurs had been winning by 6.8 points a game, the Jazz losing by 11.1. Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic for the Jazz, and Tobias Harris for the Spurs, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Lauri Markkanen's 22 points for the Jazz weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 88%, about 1 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Mon, 2 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 62%Orange✕ 117–112
- Mon, 2 NovChicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 107–126
- Mon, 2 NovWashington Wizards @ Orlando Magic ORL 61%Orange✕ 103–94
- Mon, 2 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks NY 91%Green✓ 90–103
- Mon, 2 NovDetroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets DET 64%Orange✓ 124–91
- Mon, 2 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers ATL 74%Green✓ 108–104
- Mon, 2 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 76%Green✓ 100–112
- Mon, 2 NovNew Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 67%Green✕ 135–134
- Mon, 2 NovSacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 71%Green✕ 115–100
- Mon, 2 NovBoston Celtics @ Houston Rockets HOU 69%Super✓ 93–109
- Mon, 2 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets DEN 66%Super✕ 118–110
- Mon, 2 NovPhoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors GS 54%Red✓ 113–116
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.