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// NBA · Monday 2 November 2026

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers prediction

Start 7:30pm ET ·

Pick
Atlanta Hawks
Chance
74%
Light
Green
Confidence
High

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Result

Final: Atlanta Hawks 108 – 104 Indiana Pacers. Our pick, Atlanta Hawks, won ✓.

See our full record →

Recent results

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

Atlanta Hawks are our pick on the road against the Indiana Pacers. The model gives them a 74% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

On the rosters we expect, Atlanta Hawks rate as the stronger team (80.0 to 64.9 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.

Recent form: Atlanta Hawks have been losing by 1.4 points a game, while Indiana Pacers have been losing by 5.2 points a game.

Schedule: Indiana Pacers are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.

Injuries: Atlanta Hawks will be without Jalen Johnson (33 min a game) and Jock Landale (15 min a game) and Indiana Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton (33 min a game), Andrew Nembhard (33 min a game), Pascal Siakam (32 min a game), Obi Toppin (23 min a game), Aaron Nesmith (23 min a game), Ivica Zubac (22 min a game), Johnny Furphy (21 min a game), T.J. McConnell (17 min a game) and Larry Nance Jr. (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Atlanta Hawks are 7–4 and Indiana Pacers are 3–7.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.

Game review

What happened

The Hawks beat the Pacers 108–104 on the road. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led them with 34 points, making 9 of 15 threes, and Luguentz Dort added 14. For the Pacers, Jay Huff had 22 points and 8 rebounds.

What the model got right

The model gave the Hawks a 74% chance on the road, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (80.0 to 64.9), and they won by 4. Recent form pointed the same way: the Hawks had been losing by 1.4 points a game, the Pacers losing by 5.2. Jalen Johnson and Jock Landale for the Hawks, and Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Obi Toppin, Ivica Zubac, Aaron Nesmith, Larry Nance Jr., Johnny Furphy and T.J. McConnell for the Pacers, all missed the game, as the preview expected.

What didn't work

The pick came through, but only just: a 4-point game is closer than a 74% chance suggests. Jay Huff's 22 points for the Pacers weren't enough to change the result.

Why

The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 74%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.

Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.