// NBA · Monday 2 November 2026
Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets prediction
Start 8:30pm ET ·
- Pick
- Houston Rockets
- Chance
- 69%
- Light
- Super
- Confidence
- Very high
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Boston Celtics 93 – 109 Houston Rockets. Our pick, Houston Rockets, won ✓.
Recent results
- Boston Celtics: 5 wins from the last 5, average margin +13.0 points (W 108–97 @ ORL, W 125–111 v CHI, W 125–124 v BKN, W 134–99 v CHI, W 107–103 v NY).
- Houston Rockets: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +13.0 points (W 119–98 v OKC, L 111–116 @ DAL, W 132–100 @ MIL, W 120–110 v ATL, W 121–114 @ ATL).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Houston Rockets are our pick at home against the Boston Celtics. The model gives them a 69% chance of winning, which makes this game our strongest pick.
On the rosters we expect, Houston Rockets rate as the stronger team (96.5 to 86.2 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Boston Celtics have been winning by 7.6 points a game, while Houston Rockets have been winning by 8.9 points a game.
Schedule: Boston Celtics are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Boston Celtics will be without Paul George (31 min a game) and Devin Carter (25 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Boston Celtics are 7–2 and Houston Rockets are 7–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Rockets beat the Celtics 109–93 at home. Alperen Sengun led them with 26 points, 7 rebounds and 10 assists, and Jabari Smith Jr. added 14. For the Celtics, Jayson Tatum had 19 points, 6 rebounds and 9 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Rockets a 69% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (96.5 to 86.2), and they won by 16. Recent form pointed the same way: the Rockets had been winning by 8.9 points a game, the Celtics winning by 7.6. Paul George and Devin Carter for the Celtics both missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Jayson Tatum's 19 points for the Celtics weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 69%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Mon, 2 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 62%Orange✕ 117–112
- Mon, 2 NovChicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 107–126
- Mon, 2 NovWashington Wizards @ Orlando Magic ORL 61%Orange✕ 103–94
- Mon, 2 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks NY 91%Green✓ 90–103
- Mon, 2 NovDetroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets DET 64%Orange✓ 124–91
- Mon, 2 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers ATL 74%Green✓ 108–104
- Mon, 2 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 76%Green✓ 100–112
- Mon, 2 NovNew Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 67%Green✕ 135–134
- Mon, 2 NovSacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 71%Green✕ 115–100
- Mon, 2 NovUtah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs SA 89%Green✓ 97–119
- Mon, 2 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets DEN 66%Super✕ 118–110
- Mon, 2 NovPhoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors GS 54%Red✓ 113–116
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.