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// NBA · Monday 2 November 2026

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction

Start 8:00pm ET ·

Pick
Minnesota Timberwolves
Chance
76%
Light
Green
Confidence
High

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Result

Final: Milwaukee Bucks 100 – 112 Minnesota Timberwolves. Our pick, Minnesota Timberwolves, won ✓.

See our full record →

Recent results

This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.

Our pre-game preview

Minnesota Timberwolves are our pick at home against the Milwaukee Bucks. The model gives them a 76% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

Milwaukee Bucks rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (89.9 to 85.2 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to Minnesota Timberwolves.

Recent form: Milwaukee Bucks have been losing by 12.5 points a game, while Minnesota Timberwolves have been winning by 4.0 points a game.

Injuries: Minnesota Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards (34 min a game), Donte DiVincenzo (27 min a game) and Terrence Shannon Jr. (22 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.

Season so far: Milwaukee Bucks are 1–8 and Minnesota Timberwolves are 7–3.

This preview was written from the data we had before the game.

Game review

What happened

The Timberwolves beat the Bucks 112–100 at home. LaMelo Ball led them with 34 points and 6 rebounds, making 6 of 13 threes, and Ayo Dosunmu added 19. For the Bucks, Tyler Herro had 21 points and 6 rebounds.

What the model got right

The model gave the Timberwolves a 76% chance at home, mainly because of home court, even though the Bucks rated clearly stronger (89.9 to 85.2), and they won by 12. Recent form pointed the same way: the Timberwolves had been winning by 4.0 points a game, the Bucks losing by 12.5. Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr. and Donte DiVincenzo for the Timberwolves all missed the game, as the preview expected.

What didn't work

Our rating had the Bucks clearly stronger on paper, and on the night that didn't decide it. Tyler Herro's 21 points for the Bucks weren't enough to change the result.

Why

The result fits what the model leaned on, home court. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 76%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.

Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.