// NBA · Monday 2 November 2026
Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Dallas Mavericks
- Chance
- 71%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Sacramento Kings 115 – 100 Dallas Mavericks. Our pick, Dallas Mavericks, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Sacramento Kings: 0 wins from the last 5, average margin −17.8 points (L 105–136 @ MEM, L 120–132 @ NO, L 103–130 @ SA, L 112–123 v MEM, L 120–128 v POR).
- Dallas Mavericks: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +6.6 points (W 116–111 v HOU, W 120–96 v OKC, W 113–109 @ MIA, L 106–122 v SA, W 121–105 @ IND).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Dallas Mavericks are our pick at home against the Sacramento Kings. The model gives them a 71% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, the teams rate almost level (88.5 to 88.2 on our team-strength rating), so home court decides the pick.
Recent form: Sacramento Kings have been losing by 13.7 points a game, while Dallas Mavericks have been losing by 1.9 points a game.
Injuries: Sacramento Kings will be without Maxime Raynaud (33 min a game), Keegan Murray (27 min a game) and Dylan Cardwell (22 min a game) and Dallas Mavericks will be without Santi Aldama (30 min a game), Kyrie Irving (29 min a game) and Dereck Lively II (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Sacramento Kings are 1–8 and Dallas Mavericks are 5–4.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Kings beat the Mavericks 115–100 on the road. Darius Acuff Jr. led them with 25 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, and Malik Monk added 24. For the Mavericks, Daniel Gafford had 20 points and 7 rebounds.
What the model got right
Keegan Murray, Maxime Raynaud and Dylan Cardwell for the Kings, and Kyrie Irving, Santi Aldama and Dereck Lively II for the Mavericks, all missed the game, as the preview expected. Our team-strength rating had the teams almost level (88.5 to 88.2), so the model never saw this as one-sided.
What didn't work
The model made the Mavericks the favourite at 71%, and that was wrong: the Kings won by 15. The Kings made 19 of 43 from three; the Mavericks made 7 of 33.
Why
With the teams rated almost level, home court decided the pick, and that is a thin margin. Even at 71%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Mon, 2 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 62%Orange✕ 117–112
- Mon, 2 NovChicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 107–126
- Mon, 2 NovWashington Wizards @ Orlando Magic ORL 61%Orange✕ 103–94
- Mon, 2 NovBrooklyn Nets @ New York Knicks NY 91%Green✓ 90–103
- Mon, 2 NovDetroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets DET 64%Orange✓ 124–91
- Mon, 2 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers ATL 74%Green✓ 108–104
- Mon, 2 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 76%Green✓ 100–112
- Mon, 2 NovNew Orleans Pelicans @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 67%Green✕ 135–134
- Mon, 2 NovUtah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs SA 89%Green✓ 97–119
- Mon, 2 NovBoston Celtics @ Houston Rockets HOU 69%Super✓ 93–109
- Mon, 2 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets DEN 66%Super✕ 118–110
- Mon, 2 NovPhoenix Suns @ Golden State Warriors GS 54%Red✓ 113–116
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.