// NFL · Week 8 · Sunday 1 November 2026
Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams prediction
Kick-off 4:05pm ET ·
- Pick
- Los Angeles Rams
- Chance
- 73%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Los Angeles Chargers 9 – 24 Los Angeles Rams. Our pick, Los Angeles Rams, won ✓.
Our pre-game preview
Los Angeles Rams are our pick at home against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 8. The model gives them a 73% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Los Angeles Rams have the higher team rating (1579 to 1392), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Schedule: Los Angeles Chargers are coming off a bye.
Quarterbacks: we expect Justin Herbert to start for Los Angeles Chargers (104 career starts); we expect Matthew Stafford to start for Los Angeles Rams (259 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Los Angeles Chargers are 0–7 and Los Angeles Rams are 4–4.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Rams beat the Chargers 24–9 at home. Matthew Stafford completed 17 of 25 passes for 157 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception, and Blake Corum ran for 73 yards on 11 carries and scored once. For the Chargers, Justin Herbert completed 24 of 32 passes for 257 yards with 2 interceptions.
What the model got right
The model gave the Rams a 73% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team rating (1579 to 1392), plus home field, and they won by 15. Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Justin Herbert for the Chargers and Matthew Stafford for the Rams.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. The Chargers never got close enough to make it a contest.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 73%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 1 NovTennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals CIN 83%Green✓ 36–43
- Sun, 1 NovArizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys DAL 67%Green✕ 33–30
- Sun, 1 NovAtlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB 55%Red✓ 0–16
- Sun, 1 NovBaltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills BUF 81%Green✓ 10–36
- Sun, 1 NovCleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers PIT 68%Green✓ 6–27
- Sun, 1 NovIndianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars JAX 82%Green✓ 7–42
- Sun, 1 NovLas Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets NYJ 52%Red✕ 38–33
- Sun, 1 NovMinnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions MIN 53%Red✕ 15–19
- Sun, 1 NovKansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos DEN 65%Green✓ 24–28
- Sun, 1 NovNew England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins NE 71%Green✓ 24–19
- Sun, 1 NovPhiladelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders WAS 69%Green✓ 10–27
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.