// NFL · Week 8 · Sunday 1 November 2026
Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction
Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Chance
- 82%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Indianapolis Colts 7 – 42 Jacksonville Jaguars. Our pick, Jacksonville Jaguars, won ✓.
Our pre-game preview
Jacksonville Jaguars are our pick at home against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 8. The model gives them a 82% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Jacksonville Jaguars have the higher team rating (1626 to 1405), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Schedule: Jacksonville Jaguars are coming off a bye.
Quarterbacks: we expect Daniel Jones to start for Indianapolis Colts (91 career starts); we expect Trevor Lawrence to start for Jacksonville Jaguars (86 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Indianapolis Colts are 2–6 and Jacksonville Jaguars are 6–2.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Jaguars beat the Colts 42–7 at home. Trevor Lawrence completed 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards with 3 touchdowns, and Bhayshul Tuten ran for 104 yards on 16 carries and scored once. For the Colts, Daniel Jones completed 19 of 28 passes for 144 yards with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.
What the model got right
The model gave the Jaguars an 82% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team rating (1626 to 1405), plus home field, and they won by 35. Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Daniel Jones for the Colts and Trevor Lawrence for the Jaguars.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. The Colts never got close enough to make it a contest.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 82%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 1 NovTennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals CIN 83%Green✓ 36–43
- Sun, 1 NovArizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys DAL 67%Green✕ 33–30
- Sun, 1 NovAtlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB 55%Red✓ 0–16
- Sun, 1 NovBaltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills BUF 81%Green✓ 10–36
- Sun, 1 NovCleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers PIT 68%Green✓ 6–27
- Sun, 1 NovLas Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets NYJ 52%Red✕ 38–33
- Sun, 1 NovMinnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions MIN 53%Red✕ 15–19
- Sun, 1 NovLos Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams LA 73%Green✓ 9–24
- Sun, 1 NovKansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos DEN 65%Green✓ 24–28
- Sun, 1 NovNew England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins NE 71%Green✓ 24–19
- Sun, 1 NovPhiladelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders WAS 69%Green✓ 10–27
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.