// NFL · Week 8 · Sunday 1 November 2026
Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys prediction
Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Dallas Cowboys
- Chance
- 67%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Arizona Cardinals 33 – 30 Dallas Cowboys. Our pick, Dallas Cowboys, lost ✕.
Our pre-game preview
Dallas Cowboys are our pick at home against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 8. The model gives them a 67% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Dallas Cowboys have the higher team rating (1463 to 1371), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Quarterbacks: we expect Jacoby Brissett to start for Arizona Cardinals (72 career starts); we expect Dak Prescott to start for Dallas Cowboys (152 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Arizona Cardinals are 3–5 and Dallas Cowboys are 3–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Cardinals beat the Cowboys 33–30 on the road. Gardner Minshew II completed 17 of 23 passes for 188 yards with 3 touchdowns, and Tyler Allgeier ran for 147 yards on 11 carries and scored once. For the Cowboys, Dak Prescott completed 19 of 29 passes for 195 yards with 1 touchdown.
What the model got right
Dak Prescott started for the Cowboys, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the day.
What didn't work
The model made the Cowboys the favourite at 67%, and that was wrong: the Cardinals won by 3. The Cardinals out-gained the Cowboys 467 yards to 261. Our team rating had the Cowboys ahead (1463 to 1371), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team rating, which is built from past results and can't see how a single game will go. Even at 67%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 1 NovTennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals CIN 83%Green✓ 36–43
- Sun, 1 NovAtlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB 55%Red✓ 0–16
- Sun, 1 NovBaltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills BUF 81%Green✓ 10–36
- Sun, 1 NovCleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers PIT 68%Green✓ 6–27
- Sun, 1 NovIndianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars JAX 82%Green✓ 7–42
- Sun, 1 NovLas Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets NYJ 52%Red✕ 38–33
- Sun, 1 NovMinnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions MIN 53%Red✕ 15–19
- Sun, 1 NovLos Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams LA 73%Green✓ 9–24
- Sun, 1 NovKansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos DEN 65%Green✓ 24–28
- Sun, 1 NovNew England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins NE 71%Green✓ 24–19
- Sun, 1 NovPhiladelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders WAS 69%Green✓ 10–27
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.