// NFL · Week 8 · Sunday 1 November 2026
Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets prediction
Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- New York Jets
- Chance
- 52%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Las Vegas Raiders 38 – 33 New York Jets. Our pick, New York Jets, lost ✕.
Our pre-game preview
New York Jets are our pick at home against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 8. The model gives them a 52% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
Las Vegas Raiders have the higher team rating (1399 to 1355), but home field push the pick to New York Jets.
Quarterbacks: we expect Kirk Cousins to start for Las Vegas Raiders (178 career starts); we expect Geno Smith to start for New York Jets (106 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Las Vegas Raiders are 4–4 and New York Jets are 2–6.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Raiders beat the Jets 38–33 on the road. Kirk Cousins completed 19 of 26 passes for 247 yards with 3 touchdowns, and Mike Washington Jr. ran for 83 yards on 25 carries. For the Jets, Geno Smith completed 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.
What the model got right
Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Kirk Cousins for the Raiders and Geno Smith for the Jets. The model called this close to a coin flip, and it was a one-score game: 5 points at the end. Our team rating did have the Raiders as the stronger side (1399 to 1355), and they won.
What didn't work
The model leaned to the Jets at 52%, close to a coin flip, and it got this one wrong: the Raiders won by 5. The Jets out-gained the Raiders 439 yards to 333 and still lost.
Why
The Raiders already had the higher rating, so the pick leaned on home field, which is a thin margin. At 52% it was close to a coin flip, so a result like this happens almost half the time. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 1 NovTennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals CIN 83%Green✓ 36–43
- Sun, 1 NovArizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys DAL 67%Green✕ 33–30
- Sun, 1 NovAtlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB 55%Red✓ 0–16
- Sun, 1 NovBaltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills BUF 81%Green✓ 10–36
- Sun, 1 NovCleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers PIT 68%Green✓ 6–27
- Sun, 1 NovIndianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars JAX 82%Green✓ 7–42
- Sun, 1 NovMinnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions MIN 53%Red✕ 15–19
- Sun, 1 NovLos Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams LA 73%Green✓ 9–24
- Sun, 1 NovKansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos DEN 65%Green✓ 24–28
- Sun, 1 NovNew England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins NE 71%Green✓ 24–19
- Sun, 1 NovPhiladelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders WAS 69%Green✓ 10–27
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.