// NFL · Week 8 · Sunday 1 November 2026
Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers prediction
Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Chance
- 68%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Cleveland Browns 6 – 27 Pittsburgh Steelers. Our pick, Pittsburgh Steelers, won ✓.
Our pre-game preview
Pittsburgh Steelers are our pick at home against the Cleveland Browns in Week 8. The model gives them a 68% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Pittsburgh Steelers have the higher team rating (1567 to 1473), built from results and winning margins, and they also have home field.
Quarterbacks: we expect Deshaun Watson to start for Cleveland Browns (82 career starts); we expect Aaron Rodgers to start for Pittsburgh Steelers (285 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.
Season so far: Cleveland Browns are 5–3 and Pittsburgh Steelers are 6–2.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Steelers beat the Browns 27–6 at home. Aaron Rodgers completed 13 of 25 passes for 172 yards with 1 interception, and Jaylen Warren ran for 143 yards on 17 carries and scored once. For the Browns, Deshaun Watson completed 27 of 39 passes for 324 yards.
What the model got right
The model gave the Steelers a 68% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team rating (1567 to 1473), plus home field, and they won by 21. Both starting quarterbacks were the ones the preview expected: Deshaun Watson for the Browns and Aaron Rodgers for the Steelers.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. The Browns never got close enough to make it a contest.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 68%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NFL predictions that day
- Sun, 1 NovTennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals CIN 83%Green✓ 36–43
- Sun, 1 NovArizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys DAL 67%Green✕ 33–30
- Sun, 1 NovAtlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB 55%Red✓ 0–16
- Sun, 1 NovBaltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills BUF 81%Green✓ 10–36
- Sun, 1 NovIndianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars JAX 82%Green✓ 7–42
- Sun, 1 NovLas Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets NYJ 52%Red✕ 38–33
- Sun, 1 NovMinnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions MIN 53%Red✕ 15–19
- Sun, 1 NovLos Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams LA 73%Green✓ 9–24
- Sun, 1 NovKansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos DEN 65%Green✓ 24–28
- Sun, 1 NovNew England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins NE 71%Green✓ 24–19
- Sun, 1 NovPhiladelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders WAS 69%Green✓ 10–27
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.