// NBA · Wednesday 21 October 2026
Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Chance
- 53%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Utah Jazz 103 – 123 Memphis Grizzlies. Our pick, Memphis Grizzlies, won ✓.
Recent results
- Utah Jazz: no finished games yet this season.
- Memphis Grizzlies: no finished games yet this season.
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Memphis Grizzlies are our pick at home against the Utah Jazz. The model gives them a 53% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
Utah Jazz rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (104.3 to 92.4 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to Memphis Grizzlies.
Recent form: Utah Jazz have been losing by 9.8 points a game, while Memphis Grizzlies have been losing by 16.2 points a game.
Injuries: Utah Jazz will be without Jusuf Nurkic (29 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Utah Jazz are 1–8 and Memphis Grizzlies are 6–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Grizzlies beat the Jazz 123–103 at home. Ty Jerome led them with 45 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists, making 5 of 10 threes, and Jerami Grant added 15. For the Jazz, Keyonte George had 22 points and 5 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Grizzlies a 52% chance at home, mainly because of home court, even though the Jazz rated slightly stronger (104.3 to 92.4), and they won by 20. Jusuf Nurkic missed the game for the Jazz, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Our rating had the Jazz slightly stronger on paper, and on the night that didn't decide it. Keyonte George's 22 points for the Jazz weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, home court. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 52% this was close to a coin flip, so it could easily have gone the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 21 OctMilwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards MIL 54%Red✕ 116–128
- Wed, 21 OctAtlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic ORL 55%Orange✕ 132–125
- Wed, 21 OctCharlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets CHA 68%Super✓ 110–103
- Wed, 21 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat MIA 60%Orange✕ 131–106
- Wed, 21 OctChicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors TOR 75%Green✓ 92–135
- Wed, 21 OctIndiana Pacers @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 65%Orange✕ 123–120
- Wed, 21 OctDallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets HOU 79%Green✓ 110–128
- Wed, 21 OctPhoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers POR 59%Orange✓ 83–124
- Wed, 21 OctGolden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 73%Super✓ 105–127
- Wed, 21 OctSacramento Kings @ LA Clippers LAC 70%Super✓ 96–121
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.