// NBA · Wednesday 21 October 2026
Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Orlando Magic
- Chance
- 55%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Atlanta Hawks 132 – 125 Orlando Magic. Our pick, Orlando Magic, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Atlanta Hawks: no finished games yet this season.
- Orlando Magic: no finished games yet this season.
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Orlando Magic are our pick at home against the Atlanta Hawks. The model gives them a 55% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, the teams rate almost level (89.9 to 89.2 on our team-strength rating), so home court decides the pick.
Recent form: Atlanta Hawks have been losing by 2.4 points a game, while Orlando Magic have been losing by 1.7 points a game.
Injuries: Orlando Magic will be without Anthony Black (26 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Atlanta Hawks are 7–4 and Orlando Magic are 2–7.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Hawks beat the Magic 132–125 on the road. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led them with 31 points, making 5 of 8 threes, and Jalen Johnson added 20. For the Magic, Paolo Banchero had 35 points, 7 rebounds and 10 assists.
What the model got right
Anthony Black missed the game for the Magic, as the preview expected. Our team-strength rating had the teams almost level (89.9 to 89.2), so the model never saw this as one-sided.
What didn't work
The model made the Magic a slight favourite at 55%, and that was wrong: the Hawks won by 7. Paolo Banchero scored 35 for the Magic, but it wasn't enough.
Why
With the teams rated almost level, home court decided the pick, and that is a thin margin. Even at 55%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 21 OctMilwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards MIL 54%Red✕ 116–128
- Wed, 21 OctCharlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets CHA 68%Super✓ 110–103
- Wed, 21 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat MIA 60%Orange✕ 131–106
- Wed, 21 OctChicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors TOR 75%Green✓ 92–135
- Wed, 21 OctIndiana Pacers @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 65%Orange✕ 123–120
- Wed, 21 OctUtah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 53%Red✓ 103–123
- Wed, 21 OctDallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets HOU 79%Green✓ 110–128
- Wed, 21 OctPhoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers POR 59%Orange✓ 83–124
- Wed, 21 OctGolden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 73%Super✓ 105–127
- Wed, 21 OctSacramento Kings @ LA Clippers LAC 70%Super✓ 96–121
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.