// NBA · Wednesday 21 October 2026
Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers prediction
Start 10:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Chance
- 59%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Phoenix Suns 83 – 124 Portland Trail Blazers. Our pick, Portland Trail Blazers, won ✓.
Recent results
- Phoenix Suns: no finished games yet this season.
- Portland Trail Blazers: no finished games yet this season.
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Portland Trail Blazers are our pick at home against the Phoenix Suns. The model gives them a 59% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, Portland Trail Blazers rate as the stronger team (95.6 to 89.1 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Phoenix Suns have been losing by 2.8 points a game, while Portland Trail Blazers have been losing by 0.0 points a game.
Injuries: Phoenix Suns will be without Luke Kennard (29 min a game) and Mark Williams (23 min a game) and Portland Trail Blazers will be without Shaedon Sharpe (25 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Phoenix Suns are 3–5 and Portland Trail Blazers are 6–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Trail Blazers beat the Suns 124–83 at home. Damian Lillard led them with 25 points and 6 assists, making 6 of 10 threes, and Toumani Camara added 18. For the Suns, Devin Booker had 23 points.
What the model got right
The model gave the Trail Blazers a 59% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (95.6 to 89.1), and they won by 41. Recent form pointed the same way: the Trail Blazers had been losing by 0.0 points a game, the Suns losing by 2.8. Mark Williams and Luke Kennard for the Suns, and Shaedon Sharpe for the Trail Blazers, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Devin Booker's 23 points for the Suns weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 59%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 21 OctMilwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards MIL 54%Red✕ 116–128
- Wed, 21 OctAtlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic ORL 55%Orange✕ 132–125
- Wed, 21 OctCharlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets CHA 68%Super✓ 110–103
- Wed, 21 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat MIA 60%Orange✕ 131–106
- Wed, 21 OctChicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors TOR 75%Green✓ 92–135
- Wed, 21 OctIndiana Pacers @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 65%Orange✕ 123–120
- Wed, 21 OctUtah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 53%Red✓ 103–123
- Wed, 21 OctDallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets HOU 79%Green✓ 110–128
- Wed, 21 OctGolden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 73%Super✓ 105–127
- Wed, 21 OctSacramento Kings @ LA Clippers LAC 70%Super✓ 96–121
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.