// NBA · Wednesday 21 October 2026
Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Milwaukee Bucks
- Chance
- 54%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Milwaukee Bucks 116 – 128 Washington Wizards. Our pick, Milwaukee Bucks, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Milwaukee Bucks: no finished games yet this season.
- Washington Wizards: no finished games yet this season.
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Milwaukee Bucks are our pick on the road against the Washington Wizards. The model gives them a 54% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
Washington Wizards rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (96.5 to 91.6 on our team-strength rating), but rest and form push the pick to Milwaukee Bucks.
Recent form: Milwaukee Bucks have been losing by 9.8 points a game, while Washington Wizards have been losing by 14.7 points a game.
Injuries: Washington Wizards will be without Jamir Watkins (24 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Milwaukee Bucks are 1–8 and Washington Wizards are 4–6.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Wizards beat the Bucks 128–116 at home. Anthony Davis led them with 34 points and 12 rebounds, and Trae Young added 20. For the Bucks, Tyler Herro had 24 points and 9 assists.
What the model got right
Jamir Watkins missed the game for the Wizards, as the preview expected. Our team-strength rating also had the Wizards as the stronger side (96.5 to 91.6).
What didn't work
The model leaned to the Bucks at 54%, close to a coin flip, and it got this one wrong: the Wizards won by 12. The Wizards made 32 of 41 free throws to 19 of 23 for the Bucks.
Why
The Wizards already rated slightly stronger on paper, so the pick leaned on rest and form, which is a thin margin. At 54% it was close to a coin flip, so a result like this happens almost half the time. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 21 OctAtlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic ORL 55%Orange✕ 132–125
- Wed, 21 OctCharlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets CHA 68%Super✓ 110–103
- Wed, 21 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat MIA 60%Orange✕ 131–106
- Wed, 21 OctChicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors TOR 75%Green✓ 92–135
- Wed, 21 OctIndiana Pacers @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 65%Orange✕ 123–120
- Wed, 21 OctUtah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 53%Red✓ 103–123
- Wed, 21 OctDallas Mavericks @ Houston Rockets HOU 79%Green✓ 110–128
- Wed, 21 OctPhoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers POR 59%Orange✓ 83–124
- Wed, 21 OctGolden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 73%Super✓ 105–127
- Wed, 21 OctSacramento Kings @ LA Clippers LAC 70%Super✓ 96–121
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.