// NBA · Wednesday 4 November 2026
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets prediction
Start 8:30pm ET ·
- Pick
- Houston Rockets
- Chance
- 70%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Minnesota Timberwolves 117 – 107 Houston Rockets. Our pick, Houston Rockets, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Minnesota Timberwolves: 2 wins from the last 5, average margin +4.2 points (W 112–100 v MIL, L 111–121 @ SA, W 127–101 v LAC, L 114–119 v GS, L 125–127 @ CLE).
- Houston Rockets: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +14.8 points (W 109–93 v BOS, W 119–98 v OKC, L 111–116 @ DAL, W 132–100 @ MIL, W 120–110 v ATL).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Houston Rockets are our pick at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves. The model gives them a 70% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Houston Rockets rate as the stronger team (96.7 to 85.9 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Minnesota Timberwolves have been winning by 4.5 points a game, while Houston Rockets have been winning by 9.4 points a game.
Injuries: Minnesota Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards (34 min a game), Donte DiVincenzo (27 min a game) and Terrence Shannon Jr. (22 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Minnesota Timberwolves are 7–3 and Houston Rockets are 7–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Timberwolves beat the Rockets 117–107 on the road. Ayo Dosunmu led them with 21 points and 6 assists, and LaMelo Ball added 20. For the Rockets, Kevin Durant had 21 points and 5 rebounds.
What the model got right
Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr. and Donte DiVincenzo for the Timberwolves all missed the game, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the night.
What didn't work
The model made the Rockets the favourite at 70%, and that was wrong: the Timberwolves won by 10. The Timberwolves made 15 of 35 from three; the Rockets made 13 of 37. Our team-strength rating had the Rockets ahead (96.7 to 85.9), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. Even at 70%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 4 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards ATL 55%Orange✓ 120–105
- Wed, 4 NovPhiladelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons DET 62%Super✕ 112–106
- Wed, 4 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Boston Celtics BOS 77%Green✓ 102–109
- Wed, 4 NovCharlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets CHA 61%Orange✕ 104–114
- Wed, 4 NovChicago Bulls @ New York Knicks NY 83%Green✓ 105–135
- Wed, 4 NovUtah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 73%Green✓ 113–120
- Wed, 4 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder OKC 59%Orange✓ 116–124
- Wed, 4 NovIndiana Pacers @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 74%Super✕ 107–103
- Wed, 4 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix Suns POR 55%Orange✓ 132–119
- Wed, 4 NovToronto Raptors @ Denver Nuggets DEN 64%Orange✓ 109–128
- Wed, 4 NovDallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs SA 84%Green✓ 111–112
- Wed, 4 NovLos Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings LAL 78%Green✓ 116–103
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.