// NBA · Wednesday 4 November 2026
Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Chance
- 74%
- Light
- Super
- Confidence
- Very high
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Indiana Pacers 107 – 103 Memphis Grizzlies. Our pick, Memphis Grizzlies, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Indiana Pacers: 0 wins from the last 5, average margin −9.0 points (L 104–108 v ATL, L 90–98 v BKN, L 125–145 @ MIA, L 109–114 v PHI, L 102–110 @ MIL).
- Memphis Grizzlies: 4 wins from the last 5, average margin +13.4 points (L 134–135 v NO, W 136–105 v SAC, W 124–103 @ POR, W 110–105 @ UTAH, W 123–112 @ SAC).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Memphis Grizzlies are our pick at home against the Indiana Pacers. The model gives them a 74% chance of winning, which makes this game our strongest pick.
On the rosters we expect, Memphis Grizzlies rate as the stronger team (96.8 to 91.7 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Indiana Pacers have been losing by 5.3 points a game, while Memphis Grizzlies have been winning by 0.5 points a game.
Injuries: Indiana Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton (33 min a game), Kelly Oubre Jr. (23 min a game), Johnny Furphy (21 min a game) and T.J. McConnell (17 min a game) and Memphis Grizzlies will be without Scotty Pippen Jr. (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Indiana Pacers are 3–7 and Memphis Grizzlies are 6–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Pacers beat the Grizzlies 107–103 on the road. Andrew Nembhard led them with 22 points, and Pascal Siakam added 20. For the Grizzlies, Cedric Coward had 23 points and 9 rebounds.
What the model got right
Tyrese Haliburton, Kelly Oubre Jr., Johnny Furphy and T.J. McConnell for the Pacers, and Scotty Pippen Jr. for the Grizzlies, all missed the game, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the night.
What didn't work
The model made the Grizzlies the favourite at 74%, and that was wrong: the Pacers won by 4. The Pacers made 15 of 17 free throws to 9 of 15 for the Grizzlies. Our team-strength rating had the Grizzlies ahead (96.8 to 91.7), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. Even at 74%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 4 NovAtlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards ATL 55%Orange✓ 120–105
- Wed, 4 NovPhiladelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons DET 62%Super✕ 112–106
- Wed, 4 NovMilwaukee Bucks @ Boston Celtics BOS 77%Green✓ 102–109
- Wed, 4 NovCharlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets CHA 61%Orange✕ 104–114
- Wed, 4 NovChicago Bulls @ New York Knicks NY 83%Green✓ 105–135
- Wed, 4 NovUtah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans NO 73%Green✓ 113–120
- Wed, 4 NovCleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder OKC 59%Orange✓ 116–124
- Wed, 4 NovMinnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets HOU 70%Green✕ 117–107
- Wed, 4 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix Suns POR 55%Orange✓ 132–119
- Wed, 4 NovToronto Raptors @ Denver Nuggets DEN 64%Orange✓ 109–128
- Wed, 4 NovDallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs SA 84%Green✓ 111–112
- Wed, 4 NovLos Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings LAL 78%Green✓ 116–103
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.