// NBA · Friday 30 October 2026
Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors prediction
Start 7:30pm ET ·
- Pick
- Toronto Raptors
- Chance
- 69%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Orlando Magic 121 – 114 Toronto Raptors. Our pick, Toronto Raptors, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Orlando Magic: 1 win from the last 4, average margin −12.5 points (L 99–129 @ TOR, W 111–102 @ NY, L 93–115 v MIN, L 125–132 v ATL).
- Toronto Raptors: 3 wins from the last 4, average margin +15.0 points (W 129–99 v ORL, L 94–117 @ MIN, W 112–102 @ WSH, W 135–92 v CHI).
These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Toronto Raptors are our pick at home against the Orlando Magic. The model gives them a 69% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Toronto Raptors rate as the stronger team (89.5 to 82.2 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Orlando Magic have been losing by 6.1 points a game, while Toronto Raptors have been winning by 7.7 points a game.
Injuries: Orlando Magic will be without Paolo Banchero (34 min a game) and Jalen Suggs (33 min a game) and Toronto Raptors will be without Kawhi Leonard (26 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Orlando Magic are 2–7 and Toronto Raptors are 5–4.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Magic beat the Raptors 121–114 on the road. Desmond Bane led them with 28 points and 6 assists, making 6 of 12 threes, and Franz Wagner added 26. For the Raptors, Scottie Barnes had 41 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
What the model got right
Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs for the Magic, and Kawhi Leonard for the Raptors, all missed the game, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the night.
What didn't work
The model made the Raptors the favourite at 69%, and that was wrong: the Magic won by 7. The Magic made 18 of 34 from three; the Raptors made 11 of 27. Our team-strength rating had the Raptors ahead (89.5 to 82.2), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. Even at 69%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 30 OctCharlotte Hornets @ Washington Wizards CHA 58%Orange✕ 79–95
- Fri, 30 OctNew York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers NY 58%Orange✕ 93–98
- Fri, 30 OctChicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics BOS 82%Green✓ 111–125
- Fri, 30 OctDetroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets DET 75%Green✓ 110–94
- Fri, 30 OctIndiana Pacers @ Miami Heat MIA 77%Green✓ 125–145
- Fri, 30 OctHouston Rockets @ Dallas Mavericks HOU 60%Orange✕ 111–116
- Fri, 30 OctLA Clippers @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 65%Green✓ 101–127
- Fri, 30 OctDenver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns DEN 58%Orange✓ 127–120
- Fri, 30 OctLos Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors LAL 59%Orange✕ 95–112
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.