// NBA · Friday 30 October 2026
Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns prediction
Start 10:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Denver Nuggets
- Chance
- 58%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Denver Nuggets 127 – 120 Phoenix Suns. Our pick, Denver Nuggets, won ✓.
Recent results
- Denver Nuggets: 2 wins from the last 4, average margin −3.3 points (W 104–91 @ NO, L 114–134 v GS, W 141–135 v NO, L 84–96 @ OKC).
- Phoenix Suns: 1 win from the last 3, average margin −14.3 points (L 114–125 @ OKC, W 131–122 v GS, L 83–124 @ POR).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Denver Nuggets are our pick on the road against the Phoenix Suns. The model gives them a 58% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, Denver Nuggets rate as the stronger team (98.9 to 88.9 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Denver Nuggets have been winning by 0.7 points a game, while Phoenix Suns have been losing by 6.1 points a game.
Schedule: Phoenix Suns have had 4 days' rest to 2 for Denver Nuggets, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Denver Nuggets will be without Alpha Diallo (22 min a game) and Spencer Jones (20 min a game) and Phoenix Suns will be without Mark Williams (23 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Denver Nuggets are 5–3 and Phoenix Suns are 3–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Nuggets beat the Suns 127–120 on the road. Jamal Murray led them with 39 points, 8 rebounds and 5 assists, making 7 of 9 threes, and Christian Braun added 31. For the Suns, Miles Bridges had 24 points and 10 rebounds.
What the model got right
The model gave the Nuggets a 58% chance on the road, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (98.9 to 88.9), and they won by 7. Recent form pointed the same way: the Nuggets had been winning by 0.7 points a game, the Suns losing by 6.1. Alpha Diallo and Spencer Jones for the Nuggets, and Mark Williams for the Suns, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Miles Bridges's 24 points for the Suns weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 58%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 30 OctCharlotte Hornets @ Washington Wizards CHA 58%Orange✕ 79–95
- Fri, 30 OctNew York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers NY 58%Orange✕ 93–98
- Fri, 30 OctOrlando Magic @ Toronto Raptors TOR 69%Green✕ 121–114
- Fri, 30 OctChicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics BOS 82%Green✓ 111–125
- Fri, 30 OctDetroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets DET 75%Green✓ 110–94
- Fri, 30 OctIndiana Pacers @ Miami Heat MIA 77%Green✓ 125–145
- Fri, 30 OctHouston Rockets @ Dallas Mavericks HOU 60%Orange✕ 111–116
- Fri, 30 OctLA Clippers @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 65%Green✓ 101–127
- Fri, 30 OctLos Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors LAL 59%Orange✕ 95–112
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.