// NBA · Saturday 24 October 2026
New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets prediction
Start 9:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Denver Nuggets
- Chance
- 77%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: New Orleans Pelicans 135 – 141 Denver Nuggets. Our pick, Denver Nuggets, won ✓.
Recent results
- New Orleans Pelicans: 0 wins from the last 2, average margin −2.0 points (L 119–120 @ UTAH, L 120–123 v IND).
- Denver Nuggets: 0 wins from the last 1, average margin −12.0 points (L 84–96 @ OKC).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Denver Nuggets are our pick at home against the New Orleans Pelicans. The model gives them a 77% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Denver Nuggets rate as the stronger team (99.3 to 94.5 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: New Orleans Pelicans have been losing by 3.1 points a game, while Denver Nuggets have been winning by 1.4 points a game.
Schedule: New Orleans Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Denver Nuggets will be without Cameron Johnson (31 min a game) and Spencer Jones (20 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: New Orleans Pelicans are 4–5 and Denver Nuggets are 5–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Nuggets beat the Pelicans 141–135 at home. Jamal Murray led them with 42 points and 6 assists, making 8 of 16 threes, and Nikola Jokic added 35. For the Pelicans, Trey Murphy III had 26 points and 6 rebounds.
What the model got right
The model gave the Nuggets a 76% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (99.3 to 94.5), and they won by 6. Recent form pointed the same way: the Nuggets had been winning by 1.4 points a game, the Pelicans losing by 3.1. Cameron Johnson and Spencer Jones for the Nuggets both missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Trey Murphy III's 26 points for the Pelicans weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 76%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Sat, 24 OctMiami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets MIA 54%Red✕ 110–115
- Sat, 24 OctBrooklyn Nets @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 86%Super✓ 121–125
- Sat, 24 OctMilwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 116–127
- Sat, 24 OctWashington Wizards @ Chicago Bulls CHI 64%Super✕ 124–120
- Sat, 24 OctSan Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks SA 85%Green✓ 122–106
- Sat, 24 OctHouston Rockets @ Atlanta Hawks ATL 51%Red✕ 121–114
- Sat, 24 OctGolden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns PHX 79%Green✓ 122–131
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.