// NBA · Saturday 24 October 2026
Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks prediction
Start 8:30pm ET ·
- Pick
- Atlanta Hawks
- Chance
- 51%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Houston Rockets 121 – 114 Atlanta Hawks. Our pick, Atlanta Hawks, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Houston Rockets: 2 wins from the last 2, average margin +11.0 points (W 114–110 @ SA, W 128–110 v DAL).
- Atlanta Hawks: 2 wins from the last 2, average margin +27.0 points (W 128–81 @ CHA, W 132–125 @ ORL).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Atlanta Hawks are our pick at home against the Houston Rockets. The model gives them a 51% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
Houston Rockets rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (99.1 to 91.6 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to Atlanta Hawks.
Recent form: Houston Rockets have been winning by 5.3 points a game, while Atlanta Hawks have been winning by 5.4 points a game.
Schedule: Houston Rockets are on the second night of a back-to-back and Atlanta Hawks are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Houston Rockets will be without Marcus Smart (32 min a game) and Steven Adams (23 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Houston Rockets are 7–3 and Atlanta Hawks are 7–4.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Rockets beat the Hawks 121–114 on the road. Kevin Durant led them with 22 points, and Reed Sheppard added 19. For the Hawks, Jalen Johnson had 26 points, 9 rebounds and 16 assists.
What the model got right
Marcus Smart and Steven Adams for the Rockets both missed the game, as the preview expected. Our team-strength rating also had the Rockets as the stronger side (99.1 to 91.6).
What didn't work
The model leaned to the Hawks at 51%, close to a coin flip, and it got this one wrong: the Rockets won by 7. The Rockets made 21 of 23 free throws to 15 of 21 for the Hawks.
Why
The Rockets already rated slightly stronger on paper, so the pick leaned on home court, which is a thin margin. At 51% it was close to a coin flip, so a result like this happens almost half the time. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Sat, 24 OctMiami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets MIA 54%Red✕ 110–115
- Sat, 24 OctBrooklyn Nets @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 86%Super✓ 121–125
- Sat, 24 OctMilwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 116–127
- Sat, 24 OctWashington Wizards @ Chicago Bulls CHI 64%Super✕ 124–120
- Sat, 24 OctSan Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks SA 85%Green✓ 122–106
- Sat, 24 OctNew Orleans Pelicans @ Denver Nuggets DEN 77%Green✓ 135–141
- Sat, 24 OctGolden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns PHX 79%Green✓ 122–131
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.