// NBA · Saturday 24 October 2026
Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns prediction
Start 10:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Phoenix Suns
- Chance
- 79%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Golden State Warriors 122 – 131 Phoenix Suns. Our pick, Phoenix Suns, won ✓.
Recent results
- Golden State Warriors: 0 wins from the last 2, average margin −12.5 points (L 108–111 v MEM, L 105–127 @ LAL).
- Phoenix Suns: 0 wins from the last 1, average margin −41.0 points (L 83–124 @ POR).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Phoenix Suns are our pick at home against the Golden State Warriors. The model gives them a 79% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Phoenix Suns rate as the stronger team (87.1 to 64.9 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Golden State Warriors have been losing by 6.8 points a game, while Phoenix Suns have been losing by 7.5 points a game.
Schedule: Golden State Warriors are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Golden State Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler III (31 min a game), Brandin Podziemski (31 min a game), Stephen Curry (30 min a game), Draymond Green (30 min a game), Moses Moody (28 min a game), Al Horford (24 min a game) and Kristaps Porzingis (23 min a game) and Phoenix Suns will be without Oso Ighodaro (28 min a game) and Mark Williams (23 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Golden State Warriors are 7–3 and Phoenix Suns are 3–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Suns beat the Warriors 131–122 at home. Devin Booker led them with 43 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists, and Miles Bridges added 16. For the Warriors, Yaxel Lendeborg had 26 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists, making 6 of 11 threes.
What the model got right
The model gave the Suns a 79% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (87.1 to 64.9), and they won by 9. Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis, Al Horford and Draymond Green for the Warriors, and Mark Williams and Oso Ighodaro for the Suns, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Yaxel Lendeborg's 26 points for the Warriors weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 79%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Sat, 24 OctMiami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets MIA 54%Red✕ 110–115
- Sat, 24 OctBrooklyn Nets @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 86%Super✓ 121–125
- Sat, 24 OctMilwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 78%Green✓ 116–127
- Sat, 24 OctWashington Wizards @ Chicago Bulls CHI 64%Super✕ 124–120
- Sat, 24 OctSan Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks SA 85%Green✓ 122–106
- Sat, 24 OctHouston Rockets @ Atlanta Hawks ATL 51%Red✕ 121–114
- Sat, 24 OctNew Orleans Pelicans @ Denver Nuggets DEN 77%Green✓ 135–141
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.