// NBA · Monday 26 October 2026
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Cleveland Cavaliers
- Chance
- 58%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Minnesota Timberwolves 125 – 127 Cleveland Cavaliers. Our pick, Cleveland Cavaliers, won ✓.
Recent results
- Minnesota Timberwolves: 3 wins from the last 3, average margin +23.3 points (W 117–94 v TOR, W 115–93 @ ORL, W 131–106 @ MIA).
- Cleveland Cavaliers: 1 win from the last 2, average margin −2.0 points (W 125–121 v BKN, L 106–114 @ PHI).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Cleveland Cavaliers are our pick at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves. The model gives them a 58% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, Cleveland Cavaliers rate as the stronger team (95.2 to 93.3 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Minnesota Timberwolves have been winning by 5.0 points a game, while Cleveland Cavaliers have been losing by 2.6 points a game.
Schedule: Minnesota Timberwolves are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: neither team has a regular player on the injury report at the time of writing.
Season so far: Minnesota Timberwolves are 7–3 and Cleveland Cavaliers are 5–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Cavaliers beat the Timberwolves 127–125 at home. Donovan Mitchell led them with 26 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists, making 5 of 9 threes, and James Harden added 19. For the Timberwolves, Anthony Edwards had 47 points, making 5 of 15 threes.
What the model got right
The model gave the Cavaliers a 58% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (95.2 to 93.3), and they won by 2. Nothing in the result went against the main reason for the pick.
What didn't work
Recent form favoured the Timberwolves (the Cavaliers had been losing by 2.6 points a game, the Timberwolves winning by 5.0), and that didn't carry over. Anthony Edwards's 47 points for the Timberwolves weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 58%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Mon, 26 OctWashington Wizards @ Charlotte Hornets CHA 70%Super✓ 103–110
- Mon, 26 OctChicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics BOS 77%Green✓ 99–134
- Mon, 26 OctDallas Mavericks @ Miami Heat MIA 68%Green✕ 113–109
- Mon, 26 OctIndiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks MIL 61%Orange✓ 102–110
- Mon, 26 OctPhoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder OKC 66%Green✓ 114–125
- Mon, 26 OctAtlanta Hawks @ Houston Rockets HOU 65%Orange✓ 110–120
- Mon, 26 OctMemphis Grizzlies @ Utah Jazz MEM 59%Orange✓ 110–105
- Mon, 26 OctGolden State Warriors @ Denver Nuggets DEN 72%Green✕ 134–114
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.