// NBA · Monday 26 October 2026
Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Milwaukee Bucks
- Chance
- 61%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Indiana Pacers 102 – 110 Milwaukee Bucks. Our pick, Milwaukee Bucks, won ✓.
Recent results
- Indiana Pacers: 2 wins from the last 3, average margin +4.7 points (W 136–109 @ BKN, L 105–121 v DAL, W 123–120 @ NO).
- Milwaukee Bucks: 0 wins from the last 3, average margin −10.0 points (L 116–127 @ PHI, L 125–132 v CHI, L 116–128 @ WSH).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Milwaukee Bucks are our pick at home against the Indiana Pacers. The model gives them a 61% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, Milwaukee Bucks rate as the stronger team (91.0 to 89.4 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Indiana Pacers have been losing by 2.3 points a game, while Milwaukee Bucks have been losing by 9.6 points a game.
Schedule: Indiana Pacers are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Indiana Pacers will be without Andrew Nembhard (32 min a game) and Ivica Zubac (22 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Indiana Pacers are 3–7 and Milwaukee Bucks are 1–8.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Bucks beat the Pacers 110–102 at home. Tyler Herro led them with 23 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists, and Ryan Rollins added 19. For the Pacers, Tyrese Haliburton had 22 points, 6 rebounds and 9 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Bucks a 61% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (91.0 to 89.4), and they won by 8. Andrew Nembhard and Ivica Zubac for the Pacers both missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Recent form favoured the Pacers (the Bucks had been losing by 9.6 points a game, the Pacers losing by 2.2), and that didn't carry over. Tyrese Haliburton's 22 points for the Pacers weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 61%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Mon, 26 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 58%Orange✓ 125–127
- Mon, 26 OctWashington Wizards @ Charlotte Hornets CHA 70%Super✓ 103–110
- Mon, 26 OctChicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics BOS 77%Green✓ 99–134
- Mon, 26 OctDallas Mavericks @ Miami Heat MIA 68%Green✕ 113–109
- Mon, 26 OctPhoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder OKC 66%Green✓ 114–125
- Mon, 26 OctAtlanta Hawks @ Houston Rockets HOU 65%Orange✓ 110–120
- Mon, 26 OctMemphis Grizzlies @ Utah Jazz MEM 59%Orange✓ 110–105
- Mon, 26 OctGolden State Warriors @ Denver Nuggets DEN 72%Green✕ 134–114
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.