// NBA · Sunday 25 October 2026
Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction
Start 7:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Minnesota Timberwolves
- Chance
- 55%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Toronto Raptors 94 – 117 Minnesota Timberwolves. Our pick, Minnesota Timberwolves, won ✓.
Recent results
- Toronto Raptors: 2 wins from the last 2, average margin +26.5 points (W 112–102 @ WSH, W 135–92 v CHI).
- Minnesota Timberwolves: 2 wins from the last 2, average margin +23.5 points (W 115–93 @ ORL, W 131–106 @ MIA).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Minnesota Timberwolves are our pick at home against the Toronto Raptors. The model gives them a 55% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, the teams rate almost level (93.7 to 93.1 on our team-strength rating), so home court decides the pick.
Recent form: Toronto Raptors have been winning by 8.7 points a game, while Minnesota Timberwolves have been winning by 2.9 points a game.
Injuries: Toronto Raptors will be without Kawhi Leonard (31 min a game) and Minnesota Timberwolves will be without Donte DiVincenzo (27 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Toronto Raptors are 5–4 and Minnesota Timberwolves are 7–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Timberwolves beat the Raptors 117–94 at home. Anthony Edwards led them with 26 points, and LaMelo Ball added 15. For the Raptors, Ja'Kobe Walter had 22 points, making 5 of 8 threes.
What the model got right
The model gave the Timberwolves a 55% chance at home, mainly because of home court, with the teams rated almost level (93.7 to 93.1), and they won by 23. Kawhi Leonard for the Raptors, and Donte DiVincenzo for the Timberwolves, both missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Recent form favoured the Raptors (the Timberwolves had been winning by 2.9 points a game, the Raptors winning by 8.7), and that didn't carry over. Ja'Kobe Walter's 22 points for the Raptors weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, home court. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 55%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Sun, 25 OctLos Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz LAL 66%Green✓ 132–123
- Sun, 25 OctIndiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets IND 63%Orange✓ 136–109
- Sun, 25 OctLA Clippers @ Oklahoma City Thunder OKC 85%Green✓ 101–108
- Sun, 25 OctOrlando Magic @ New York Knicks NY 79%Super✕ 111–102
- Sun, 25 OctDetroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 51%Red✕ 106–93
- Sun, 25 OctMemphis Grizzlies @ Sacramento Kings MEM 53%Red✓ 123–112
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.