// NBA · Sunday 25 October 2026
Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz prediction
Start 5:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Los Angeles Lakers
- Chance
- 66%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Los Angeles Lakers 132 – 123 Utah Jazz. Our pick, Los Angeles Lakers, won ✓.
Recent results
- Los Angeles Lakers: 2 wins from the last 2, average margin +15.0 points (W 125–117 v LAC, W 127–105 v GS).
- Utah Jazz: 1 win from the last 2, average margin −9.5 points (W 120–119 v NO, L 103–123 @ MEM).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Los Angeles Lakers are our pick on the road against the Utah Jazz. The model gives them a 66% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Utah Jazz rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (102.3 to 100.8 on our team-strength rating), but rest and form push the pick to Los Angeles Lakers.
Recent form: Los Angeles Lakers have been winning by 2.0 points a game, while Utah Jazz have been losing by 9.7 points a game.
Injuries: Utah Jazz will be without Jusuf Nurkic (29 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Los Angeles Lakers are 8–2 and Utah Jazz are 1–8.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Lakers beat the Jazz 132–123 on the road. Luka Doncic led them with 52 points, 8 rebounds and 10 assists, making 8 of 18 threes, and Austin Reaves added 29. For the Jazz, Lauri Markkanen had 28 points and 7 rebounds, making 5 of 11 threes.
What the model got right
The model gave the Lakers a 66% chance on the road, mainly because of rest and form, even though the Jazz rated slightly stronger (102.3 to 100.8), and they won by 9. Recent form pointed the same way: the Lakers had been winning by 2.0 points a game, the Jazz losing by 9.7. Jusuf Nurkic missed the game for the Jazz, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Our rating had the Jazz slightly stronger on paper, and on the night that didn't decide it. The Jazz won the rebounding battle 52–31 and still lost.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, rest and form. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 66%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Sun, 25 OctIndiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets IND 63%Orange✓ 136–109
- Sun, 25 OctLA Clippers @ Oklahoma City Thunder OKC 85%Green✓ 101–108
- Sun, 25 OctOrlando Magic @ New York Knicks NY 79%Super✕ 111–102
- Sun, 25 OctToronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 55%Orange✓ 94–117
- Sun, 25 OctDetroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 51%Red✕ 106–93
- Sun, 25 OctMemphis Grizzlies @ Sacramento Kings MEM 53%Red✓ 123–112
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.