// NBA · Sunday 25 October 2026
Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings prediction
Start 9:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Chance
- 53%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Memphis Grizzlies 123 – 112 Sacramento Kings. Our pick, Memphis Grizzlies, won ✓.
Recent results
- Memphis Grizzlies: 2 wins from the last 2, average margin +11.5 points (W 111–108 @ GS, W 123–103 v UTAH).
- Sacramento Kings: 0 wins from the last 2, average margin −16.5 points (L 120–128 v POR, L 96–121 @ LAC).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Memphis Grizzlies are our pick on the road against the Sacramento Kings. The model gives them a 53% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
On the rosters we expect, Memphis Grizzlies rate as the stronger team (88.2 to 80.8 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Memphis Grizzlies have been losing by 9.7 points a game, while Sacramento Kings have been losing by 10.4 points a game.
Injuries: Memphis Grizzlies will be without Zach Edey (26 min a game) and Sacramento Kings will be without Keegan Murray (34 min a game), Maxime Raynaud (33 min a game) and Dylan Cardwell (22 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Memphis Grizzlies are 6–3 and Sacramento Kings are 1–8.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Grizzlies beat the Kings 123–112 on the road. Ty Jerome led them with 31 points. For the Kings, Zach LaVine had 37 points and 5 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Grizzlies a 53% chance on the road, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (88.2 to 80.8), and they won by 11. Zach Edey for the Grizzlies, and Maxime Raynaud, Keegan Murray and Dylan Cardwell for the Kings, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Zach LaVine's 37 points for the Kings weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 53% this was close to a coin flip, so it could easily have gone the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Sun, 25 OctLos Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz LAL 66%Green✓ 132–123
- Sun, 25 OctIndiana Pacers @ Brooklyn Nets IND 63%Orange✓ 136–109
- Sun, 25 OctLA Clippers @ Oklahoma City Thunder OKC 85%Green✓ 101–108
- Sun, 25 OctOrlando Magic @ New York Knicks NY 79%Super✕ 111–102
- Sun, 25 OctToronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 55%Orange✓ 94–117
- Sun, 25 OctDetroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers PHI 51%Red✕ 106–93
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.