// NBA · Thursday 29 October 2026
Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- New Orleans Pelicans
- Chance
- 63%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Sacramento Kings 120 – 132 New Orleans Pelicans. Our pick, New Orleans Pelicans, won ✓.
Recent results
- Sacramento Kings: 0 wins from the last 4, average margin −17.8 points (L 103–130 @ SA, L 112–123 v MEM, L 120–128 v POR, L 96–121 @ LAC).
- New Orleans Pelicans: 0 wins from the last 4, average margin −5.8 points (L 91–104 v DEN, L 135–141 @ DEN, L 119–120 @ UTAH, L 120–123 v IND).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
New Orleans Pelicans are our pick at home against the Sacramento Kings. The model gives them a 63% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, the teams rate almost level (87.8 to 87.3 on our team-strength rating), so home court decides the pick.
Recent form: Sacramento Kings have been losing by 12.3 points a game, while New Orleans Pelicans have been losing by 4.5 points a game.
Schedule: New Orleans Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Sacramento Kings will be without Maxime Raynaud (33 min a game), Keegan Murray (27 min a game) and Dylan Cardwell (22 min a game) and New Orleans Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray (32 min a game), Yves Missi (20 min a game) and Jordan Poole (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Sacramento Kings are 1–8 and New Orleans Pelicans are 4–5.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Pelicans beat the Kings 132–120 at home. Zion Williamson and Jeremiah Fears led them with 22 points each. For the Kings, Darius Acuff Jr. had 34 points, 6 rebounds and 14 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Pelicans a 62% chance at home, mainly because of home court, with the teams rated almost level (87.8 to 87.3), and they won by 12. Recent form pointed the same way: the Pelicans had been losing by 4.5 points a game, the Kings losing by 12.3. Keegan Murray, Maxime Raynaud and Dylan Cardwell for the Kings, and Dejounte Murray, Yves Missi and Jordan Poole for the Pelicans, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Darius Acuff Jr.'s 34 points for the Kings weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, home court. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 62%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.