// NBA · Thursday 29 October 2026
Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers prediction
Start 10:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Chance
- 62%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Memphis Grizzlies 124 – 103 Portland Trail Blazers. Our pick, Portland Trail Blazers, lost ✕.
Recent results
- Memphis Grizzlies: 4 wins from the last 4, average margin +9.8 points (W 110–105 @ UTAH, W 123–112 @ SAC, W 111–108 @ GS, W 123–103 v UTAH).
- Portland Trail Blazers: 3 wins from the last 3, average margin +18.7 points (W 136–129 @ LAL, W 128–120 @ SAC, W 124–83 v PHX).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Portland Trail Blazers are our pick at home against the Memphis Grizzlies. The model gives them a 62% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, Portland Trail Blazers rate as the stronger team (95.8 to 93.9 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Memphis Grizzlies have been losing by 5.3 points a game, while Portland Trail Blazers have been winning by 6.2 points a game.
Injuries: Portland Trail Blazers will be without Shaedon Sharpe (25 min a game) and Robert Williams III (18 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Memphis Grizzlies are 6–3 and Portland Trail Blazers are 6–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Grizzlies beat the Trail Blazers 124–103 on the road. Cameron Boozer and Isaiah Stewart led them with 18 points each. For the Trail Blazers, Deni Avdija had 24 points, 9 rebounds and 7 assists.
What the model got right
Robert Williams III and Shaedon Sharpe for the Trail Blazers both missed the game, as the preview expected. Beyond that, not much went the model's way on the night.
What didn't work
The model made the Trail Blazers a slight favourite at 62%, and that was wrong: the Grizzlies won by 21. The Grizzlies made 18 of 42 from three; the Trail Blazers made 12 of 49. Our team-strength rating had the Trail Blazers ahead (95.8 to 93.9), and that didn't hold up.
Why
The pick rested mostly on our team-strength rating, which has no way to see a night like this one coming. Even at 62%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and this was one of them. It stays on our record like every other result.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.