// NBA · Saturday 31 October 2026
Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Chance
- 73%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Sacramento Kings 105 – 136 Memphis Grizzlies. Our pick, Memphis Grizzlies, won ✓.
Recent results
- Sacramento Kings: 0 wins from the last 5, average margin −16.6 points (L 120–132 @ NO, L 103–130 @ SA, L 112–123 v MEM, L 120–128 v POR, L 96–121 @ LAC).
- Memphis Grizzlies: 5 wins from the last 5, average margin +12.0 points (W 124–103 @ POR, W 110–105 @ UTAH, W 123–112 @ SAC, W 111–108 @ GS, W 123–103 v UTAH).
These teams have already met 1 time this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Memphis Grizzlies are our pick at home against the Sacramento Kings. The model gives them a 73% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
Sacramento Kings rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (88.5 to 83.8 on our team-strength rating), but home court push the pick to Memphis Grizzlies.
Recent form: Sacramento Kings have been losing by 12.0 points a game, while Memphis Grizzlies have been losing by 2.2 points a game.
Injuries: Sacramento Kings will be without Maxime Raynaud (33 min a game), Keegan Murray (27 min a game) and Dylan Cardwell (22 min a game) and Memphis Grizzlies will be without Ty Jerome (30 min a game), Scotty Pippen Jr. (16 min a game) and Quinten Post (15 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Sacramento Kings are 1–8 and Memphis Grizzlies are 6–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Grizzlies beat the Kings 136–105 at home. Cameron Boozer led them with 27 points and 9 rebounds, and Isaiah Stewart added 24. For the Kings, Darius Acuff Jr. had 38 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists, making 9 of 14 threes.
What the model got right
The model gave the Grizzlies a 73% chance at home, mainly because of home court, even though the Kings rated clearly stronger (88.5 to 83.8), and they won by 31. Recent form pointed the same way: the Grizzlies had been losing by 2.2 points a game, the Kings losing by 12.0. Keegan Murray, Maxime Raynaud and Dylan Cardwell for the Kings, and Ty Jerome, Scotty Pippen Jr. and Quinten Post for the Grizzlies, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Our rating had the Kings clearly stronger on paper, and on the night that didn't decide it. Darius Acuff Jr.'s 38 points for the Kings weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, home court. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 73%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Sat, 31 OctPortland Trail Blazers @ Utah Jazz POR 60%Orange✓ 112–90
- Sat, 31 OctPhiladelphia 76ers @ Charlotte Hornets CHA 53%Red✕ 109–104
- Sat, 31 OctAtlanta Hawks @ New Orleans Pelicans ATL 56%Orange✕ 99–121
- Sat, 31 OctCleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks CLE 64%Orange✓ 136–111
- Sat, 31 OctMinnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs SA 81%Green✓ 111–121
- Sat, 31 OctOklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets HOU 57%Orange✓ 98–119
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.