// NBA · Saturday 31 October 2026
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- San Antonio Spurs
- Chance
- 81%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Minnesota Timberwolves 111 – 121 San Antonio Spurs. Our pick, San Antonio Spurs, won ✓.
Recent results
- Minnesota Timberwolves: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +12.8 points (W 127–101 v LAC, L 114–119 v GS, L 125–127 @ CLE, W 117–94 v TOR, W 115–93 @ ORL).
- San Antonio Spurs: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +6.6 points (W 117–111 @ UTAH, W 130–103 v SAC, W 122–106 @ DAL, L 110–114 v HOU, L 104–116 v OKC).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
San Antonio Spurs are our pick at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves. The model gives them a 81% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, San Antonio Spurs rate as the stronger team (94.8 to 83.5 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Minnesota Timberwolves have been winning by 5.3 points a game, while San Antonio Spurs have been winning by 6.7 points a game.
Schedule: Minnesota Timberwolves are on the second night of a back-to-back, which the model takes into account.
Injuries: Minnesota Timberwolves will be without Anthony Edwards (34 min a game), Rudy Gobert (30 min a game) and Donte DiVincenzo (27 min a game) and San Antonio Spurs will be without Tobias Harris (31 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Minnesota Timberwolves are 7–3 and San Antonio Spurs are 8–2.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Spurs beat the Timberwolves 121–111 at home. Victor Wembanyama led them with 43 points and 7 rebounds, and Dylan Harper added 25. For the Timberwolves, Ayo Dosunmu had 27 points and 9 rebounds.
What the model got right
The model gave the Spurs an 81% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (94.8 to 83.5), and they won by 10. Recent form pointed the same way: the Spurs had been winning by 6.7 points a game, the Timberwolves winning by 5.3. Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert and Donte DiVincenzo for the Timberwolves, and Tobias Harris for the Spurs, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Ayo Dosunmu's 27 points for the Timberwolves weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 81%, about 2 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Sat, 31 OctPortland Trail Blazers @ Utah Jazz POR 60%Orange✓ 112–90
- Sat, 31 OctPhiladelphia 76ers @ Charlotte Hornets CHA 53%Red✕ 109–104
- Sat, 31 OctAtlanta Hawks @ New Orleans Pelicans ATL 56%Orange✕ 99–121
- Sat, 31 OctCleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks CLE 64%Orange✓ 136–111
- Sat, 31 OctSacramento Kings @ Memphis Grizzlies MEM 73%Green✓ 105–136
- Sat, 31 OctOklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets HOU 57%Orange✓ 98–119
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.