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// NFL · Week 10 · Sunday 15 November 2026

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets prediction

Kick-off 1:00pm ET ·

Pick
Buffalo Bills
Chance
79%
Light
Green
Confidence
High

Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →

Injury report

Buffalo Bills

  • Tyrell Shavers WR · Out · Knee - ACL (8 Nov, 8:01 am AEDT)
  • Joshua Palmer WR · Out · Hamstring (8 Nov, 5:51 am AEDT)
  • Jordan Hancock CB · Injured reserve · Hamstring (5 Nov, 2:59 pm AEDT)
  • Alec Anderson OT · Questionable · Ankle (8 Nov, 1:09 pm AEDT)
  • Dion Dawkins OT · Questionable · Ribs (8 Nov, 1:01 pm AEDT)
  • Greg Gaines DT · Questionable · Calf (4 Nov, 12:03 am AEDT)
  • Spencer Brown OT · Returning (8 Nov, 1:05 pm AEDT)
  • Sam Franklin Jr. S · Returning (8 Nov, 6:39 am AEDT)
  • Keon Coleman WR · Returning (8 Nov, 6:30 am AEDT)
  • DJ Moore WR · Returning (8 Nov, 6:17 am AEDT)
  • Ty Johnson RB · Returning (7 Nov, 9:03 am AEDT)
  • Dalton Kincaid TE · Returning (7 Nov, 8:59 am AEDT)
  • +13 more

New York Jets

  • Nahshon Wright CB · Out · Back (8 Nov, 12:51 pm AEDT)
  • Joseph Ossai DE · Out · Ankle (8 Nov, 12:45 pm AEDT)
  • Trevin Wallace LB · Out · Groin (7 Nov, 7:52 am AEDT)
  • Garrett Wilson WR · Out · Concussion (7 Nov, 3:16 am AEDT)
  • VJ Payne S · Injured reserve · Knee (8 Nov, 12:56 pm AEDT)
  • Max Mitchell OT · Injured reserve · Concussion (4 Nov, 12:56 pm AEDT)
  • T'Vondre Sweat DT · Injured reserve · Knee (1 Nov, 10:39 am AEDT)
  • Harrison Phillips DT · Questionable · Ankle (5 Nov, 8:46 am AEDT)
  • Braelon Allen RB · Returning (7 Nov, 7:45 am AEDT)
  • Adonai Mitchell WR · Returning (7 Nov, 7:17 am AEDT)
  • Omar Cooper Jr. WR · Returning (7 Nov, 5:24 am AEDT)
  • Breece Hall RB · Returning (7 Nov, 1:44 am AEDT)
  • +13 more

● Out● May miss / reduced minutes● Probable / returning

Statuses from the official team injury reports. Updated 8 Nov, 5:20 pm AEDT; refreshed every 15 minutes.

Preview

Buffalo Bills are our pick on the road against the New York Jets in Week 10. The model gives them a 79% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.

Buffalo Bills have the higher team rating (1682 to 1334), built from results and winning margins.

Quarterbacks: we expect Josh Allen to start for Buffalo Bills (146 career starts); we expect Geno Smith to start for New York Jets (107 career starts). We assume each team's most recent starter plays unless the injury report says otherwise.

Season so far: Buffalo Bills are 6–1 and New York Jets are 2–6.

What could change the pick: late quarterback news. We re-check every 30 minutes until kick-off, then the pick is frozen and stays on our public record, win or lose.

This is one of our top picks: Buffalo Bills at 79% to win.

Twice a week, Monday and Thursday: the model's GREEN calls, how the last batch went, wins and misses both. Free.

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Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.