// NBA · Friday 6 November 2026
Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Dallas Mavericks
- Chance
- 68%
- Light
- Green
- Confidence
- High
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Utah Jazz 100 – 112 Dallas Mavericks. Our pick, Dallas Mavericks, won ✓.
Recent results
- Utah Jazz: 0 wins from the last 5, average margin −12.4 points (L 113–120 @ NO, L 97–119 @ SA, L 90–112 v POR, L 111–117 v SA, L 105–110 v MEM).
- Dallas Mavericks: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +3.4 points (L 111–112 @ SA, L 100–115 v SAC, W 116–111 v HOU, W 120–96 v OKC, W 113–109 @ MIA).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Dallas Mavericks are our pick at home against the Utah Jazz. The model gives them a 68% chance of winning, which makes this game a 65%+ top pick.
On the rosters we expect, Dallas Mavericks rate as the stronger team (90.7 to 89.0 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Utah Jazz have been losing by 11.2 points a game, while Dallas Mavericks have been losing by 3.0 points a game.
Injuries: Utah Jazz will be without Jusuf Nurkic (29 min a game) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (26 min a game) and Dallas Mavericks will be without Dereck Lively II (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Utah Jazz are 1–8 and Dallas Mavericks are 5–4.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Mavericks beat the Jazz 112–100 at home. P.J. Washington led them with 26 points and 6 rebounds, making 6 of 10 threes, and Cooper Flagg added 21. For the Jazz, Lauri Markkanen had 24 points and 8 rebounds, making 8 of 15 threes.
What the model got right
The model gave the Mavericks a 68% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (90.7 to 89.0), and they won by 12. Recent form pointed the same way: the Mavericks had been losing by 3.0 points a game, the Jazz losing by 11.2. Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jusuf Nurkic for the Jazz, and Dereck Lively II for the Mavericks, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. The Jazz made more threes (15 to 9) and still lost.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 68%, about 3 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 6 NovWashington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks ATL 76%Green✓ 132–139
- Fri, 6 NovBoston Celtics @ Charlotte Hornets BOS 69%Green✓ 119–80
- Fri, 6 NovPhiladelphia 76ers @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 52%Red✓ 95–119
- Fri, 6 NovOklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies OKC 55%Red✓ 128–97
- Fri, 6 NovToronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks TOR 50%Red✓ 121–107
- Fri, 6 NovMinnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans MIN 54%Red✓ 115–109
- Fri, 6 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 69%Super✓ 118–124
- Fri, 6 NovSan Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings SA 84%Green✓ 124–109
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.