// NBA · Friday 6 November 2026
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction
Start 8:00pm ET ·
- Pick
- Oklahoma City Thunder
- Chance
- 55%
- Light
- Red
- Confidence
- Low
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 128 – 97 Memphis Grizzlies. Our pick, Oklahoma City Thunder, won ✓.
Recent results
- Oklahoma City Thunder: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin −4.2 points (W 124–116 v CLE, W 117–112 @ CLE, L 98–119 @ HOU, L 96–120 @ DAL, W 125–114 v PHX).
- Memphis Grizzlies: 3 wins from the last 5, average margin +10.4 points (L 103–107 v IND, L 134–135 v NO, W 136–105 v SAC, W 124–103 @ POR, W 110–105 @ UTAH).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Oklahoma City Thunder are our pick on the road against the Memphis Grizzlies. The model gives them a 55% chance of winning, which makes this game close to a coin flip (under 55%).
Memphis Grizzlies rate slightly stronger on the rosters we expect (95.4 to 88.2 on our team-strength rating), but rest and form push the pick to Oklahoma City Thunder.
Recent form: Oklahoma City Thunder have been winning by 2.5 points a game, while Memphis Grizzlies have been losing by 0.2 points a game.
Injuries: Oklahoma City Thunder will be without Jalen Williams (32 min a game), Chet Holmgren (30 min a game), Jaylin Williams (18 min a game) and Cason Wallace (16 min a game) and Memphis Grizzlies will be without Isaiah Stewart (18 min a game) and Scotty Pippen Jr. (16 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Oklahoma City Thunder are 8–2 and Memphis Grizzlies are 6–3.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Thunder beat the Grizzlies 128–97 on the road. Ajay Mitchell led them with 35 points and 5 assists, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 28. For the Grizzlies, Ty Jerome had 21 points and 5 assists.
What the model got right
The model gave the Thunder a 55% chance on the road, mainly because of rest and form, even though the Grizzlies rated clearly stronger (95.4 to 88.2), and they won by 31. Recent form pointed the same way: the Thunder had been winning by 2.5 points a game, the Grizzlies losing by 0.2. Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace and Jaylin Williams for the Thunder, and Isaiah Stewart and Scotty Pippen Jr. for the Grizzlies, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Our rating had the Grizzlies clearly stronger on paper, and on the night that didn't decide it. Ty Jerome's 21 points for the Grizzlies weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, rest and form. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 55% this was close to a coin flip, so it could easily have gone the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Fri, 6 NovWashington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks ATL 76%Green✓ 132–139
- Fri, 6 NovBoston Celtics @ Charlotte Hornets BOS 69%Green✓ 119–80
- Fri, 6 NovPhiladelphia 76ers @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 52%Red✓ 95–119
- Fri, 6 NovToronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks TOR 50%Red✓ 121–107
- Fri, 6 NovMinnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans MIN 54%Red✓ 115–109
- Fri, 6 NovUtah Jazz @ Dallas Mavericks DAL 68%Green✓ 100–112
- Fri, 6 NovPortland Trail Blazers @ Los Angeles Lakers LAL 69%Super✓ 118–124
- Fri, 6 NovSan Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings SA 84%Green✓ 124–109
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.