// NBA · Wednesday 28 October 2026
Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors prediction
Start 7:30pm ET ·
- Pick
- Toronto Raptors
- Chance
- 64%
- Light
- Orange
- Confidence
- Medium
Full breakdown: team stats, players & form →
Result
Final: Orlando Magic 99 – 129 Toronto Raptors. Our pick, Toronto Raptors, won ✓.
Recent results
- Orlando Magic: 1 win from the last 3, average margin −6.7 points (W 111–102 @ NY, L 93–115 v MIN, L 125–132 v ATL).
- Toronto Raptors: 2 wins from the last 3, average margin +10.0 points (L 94–117 @ MIN, W 112–102 @ WSH, W 135–92 v CHI).
This is the first meeting between these teams this season. Results are taken from final scores, most recent first.
Our pre-game preview
Toronto Raptors are our pick at home against the Orlando Magic. The model gives them a 64% chance of winning, which makes this game a lean (55 to 65%).
On the rosters we expect, Toronto Raptors rate as the stronger team (88.1 to 82.7 on our team-strength rating), and that is the main reason for the pick.
Recent form: Orlando Magic have been losing by 3.4 points a game, while Toronto Raptors have been winning by 5.3 points a game.
Injuries: Orlando Magic will be without Paolo Banchero (34 min a game) and Jalen Suggs (33 min a game) and Toronto Raptors will be without Kawhi Leonard (26 min a game). Players listed as unsure are counted by how likely they are to play.
Season so far: Orlando Magic are 2–7 and Toronto Raptors are 5–4.
This preview was written from the data we had before the game.
Game review
What happened
The Raptors beat the Magic 129–99 at home. Scottie Barnes led them with 28 points and 6 rebounds, and RJ Barrett added 25. For the Magic, Tristan da Silva had 20 points.
What the model got right
The model gave the Raptors a 64% chance at home, mainly because of their higher team-strength rating (88.1 to 82.7), and they won by 30. Recent form pointed the same way: the Raptors had been winning by 5.2 points a game, the Magic losing by 3.4. Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs for the Magic, and Kawhi Leonard for the Raptors, all missed the game, as the preview expected.
What didn't work
Not much went against the model in this one. Tristan da Silva's 20 points for the Magic weren't enough to change the result.
Why
The result fits what the model leaned on, the team-strength rating. One win doesn't prove the model right: at 64%, about 4 in 10 games like this go the other way, and every result stays on our record.
Written after the game. Scores and stats are checked against two independent sources.
More NBA predictions that day
- Wed, 28 OctWashington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers CLE 82%Super✓ 111–121
- Wed, 28 OctPhiladelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers PHI 68%Green✓ 114–109
- Wed, 28 OctMiami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks ATL 64%Super✕ 129–117
- Wed, 28 OctCharlotte Hornets @ Detroit Pistons DET 65%Orange✓ 89–97
- Wed, 28 OctGolden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 63%Orange✕ 119–114
- Wed, 28 OctHouston Rockets @ Milwaukee Bucks HOU 60%Orange✓ 132–100
- Wed, 28 OctDenver Nuggets @ New Orleans Pelicans DEN 56%Orange✓ 104–91
- Wed, 28 OctNew York Knicks @ Chicago Bulls NY 71%Green✓ 133–127
- Wed, 28 OctSan Antonio Spurs @ Utah Jazz SA 76%Green✓ 117–111
- Wed, 28 OctOklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks OKC 67%Super✕ 96–120
- Wed, 28 OctLos Angeles Lakers @ LA Clippers LAC 63%Super✕ 103–87
Probabilities come from ProbaLab's own model. They are for entertainment, not advice. How it works.